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UFC PERTH PREDICTIONS | Y2K PICKS
Alonzo Hernandez · Watch on YouTube · Generated with SnapSummary · 2026-04-29

00:00 Today's episode predictions for UFC

00:03 Perth. Carlos Prozes versus Jack Dela

00:05 Matt Elena. And honestly, we manifested

00:09 this matchup and has come to fruition. A

00:12 lot of people got Protest, a lot of

00:14 people got JDM. It's pretty much 50/50.

00:16 Honestly, I think the the fight being in

00:18 Australia is going to play a large role

00:20 in a lot of these fights. But, uh, we're

00:22 going to do a whole prediction of the

00:23 full card from the first fight all the

00:25 way to the main event. and we're going

00:27 to do an in-depth breakdown on JDM and

00:29 Carlos Prates and you know really talk

00:31 about their styles and how they conflict

00:33 with each other, how it's going to be a

00:36 really good matchup stylistically. Let's

00:38 start off with the first fight of the

00:39 card which is the boy the homie Cody

00:43 Steel versus Dom Marfon. Now it's been a

00:47 long time since Cody has fought. It's

00:49 almost been a whole year. It's been a

00:51 year and two months. Okay. And the last

00:52 fight he had was in Australia as well.

00:55 So, that may help. I don't know why

00:57 they're just shipping my boy Cody off to

00:59 Australia to scrap, but he's ready. He's

01:02 dialed in. And honestly, I think Cody

01:04 Steel is very underrated as a fighter.

01:07 Uh, his jiu-jitsu skill is really high

01:08 level. He's able to mix in his striking

01:10 with it as well. Don Marfon, the street

01:13 Buddha, is on a fiveight win streak and

01:15 surprisingly is the underdog for this

01:18 fight. Cody still is the favorite and I

01:20 do think he uh ends the fight via TKO.

01:22 He does have them hands. also has a

01:24 submission threat as well. So, there's a

01:25 lot to worry about with Cody Steel and

01:28 I'm hoping he stays really active um in

01:30 this, you know, remaining year.

01:31 Hopefully, we get another fight in 2026,

01:34 but that is going to be a huge huge

01:36 fight for him in his career. We got to

01:38 stay up early, bro. I think the the

01:40 fights start at 01:00 a.m. and the main

01:43 card starts at 04:00 a.m. where I'm at,

01:44 Pacific Standard Time. So, we got a

01:47 mission, bro. But, we're going to do

01:49 this and we're going to do this right.

01:50 Okay. So, next fight up, we have

01:51 Jonathan U McCalliff versus Stembba

01:55 Gerimbo. I know Kemba Gerimbo. There was

01:57 a lot of hype initially, right? Like

01:59 Dwayne the Rock Johnson was like uh

02:01 supporting him, giving him some money

02:02 for some houses and stuff. Then he got

02:04 choked out by V Vicente Lu and all the

02:07 hype went away and he also lost his last

02:09 fight against Jeremiah Wells via

02:10 decision. And honestly, I know I know

02:13 Tha is an underdog. He's a plus 270. I

02:16 just think he's due. You know, I'm using

02:19 the gambling uh energy going into this

02:21 one. Jonathan um he's on a fouright win

02:24 streak. He's Australian as well, home

02:26 crowd. But I do think Thembo Grimbo gets

02:28 like a submission or something. Bro, I

02:30 think I think he's got it. I I believe

02:32 in them honestly. And I was very sad

02:34 once he got choked out against Picente

02:36 cuz I guess like his home country

02:38 started making fun of him after he lost.

02:39 And I think he's got some he's got some

02:41 vengeance in him. I think he's ready to

02:43 to get that. So, I do think on this next

02:45 fight, Wes Schultz versus Ben Johnson. I

02:47 do think the Australians get their first

02:49 win of the night with Ben Johnson. Um,

02:52 he's on a fouright win streak favorite

02:53 minus 180. Uh, this is his first UFC uh

02:57 UFC uh event. So, a lot of these

02:59 Australian fighters, they fight under

03:01 this promotion called uh Eternal MMA. I

03:03 know you guys see Bedtime MMA doing a

03:05 lot of promotion for uh Eternal, and

03:07 I've been seeing a lot more highlights

03:08 of of Urs. And I do think Ben Johnson is

03:11 going to be able to get a win. Um, Wes

03:14 Schultz just lost a month month and a

03:16 half ago. So, there's a quick turnaround

03:18 for him. So, if you just fought a month

03:19 ago, you're back in Cam 4 weeks later

03:21 and you're already going to fight again.

03:22 Cut way, do the same thing. I'm thinking

03:24 this plays in favor for Ben Johnson and

03:27 we shall see. I think he gets a TKO. I'm

03:30 going to go with the first round KO for

03:31 for Mr. Johnson. Now, we're back with

03:34 Mr. Kobe Thickness. Okay, Kobe Thickness

03:37 did fight uh six months ago. Okay. So,

03:40 he's he's pretty pretty active. His last

03:42 loss against uh Alexandre Tapora, which

03:45 was already a year ago, surprisingly,

03:47 he's going against Vince Morales, who is

03:49 uh you know, teamed up with Cody Steel.

03:51 They've been training together. They

03:52 train in Las Vegas. I think he probably

03:54 trains out of uh Syndicate MMA. And

03:58 this one's tough because I also want to

03:59 go with the underdog here with Vince

04:00 Morales. I'm thinking they carry that

04:02 energy and they both get a dub, but he

04:04 has lost his last three and it seems

04:06 like uh and maybe it's a IQ type of

04:09 thing. I don't think it's athletic wise.

04:10 I just think during the fights, he

04:13 really has to put the gas and push on

04:15 the pedal to be able to get those

04:17 rounds. And I'm thinking Kobe thickness

04:19 wins this fight via decision. Morales

04:22 has lost his last three via decision.

04:23 So, I'm going to go with the same

04:24 pattern here. Um hopefully he's made

04:27 some um improvements. It's been a whole

04:29 year since he fought, so I'm going to go

04:31 Kobe thickness decision here, even

04:33 though I want Morales to win. Okay,

04:35 speaking of people I want to win. I want

04:38 GM3 to win. I really want him to win.

04:40 He's on a fouright losing streak. He's

04:42 going against Jacob Malcoun. Uh he's a

04:45 minus 1,000 favorite. Okay, that is

04:48 crazy. Okay, GM3, he is 37 and 21.

04:51 That's his record. Okay, 37 and 21. Tons

04:54 of fights, tons of submissions. He's a

04:56 plus 625.

04:58 I'mma rip a little bet on GM3. I'm not

05:00 going to lie. It's going to be small,

05:02 but I do think GM3 is going to be able

05:04 to get a submission. I don't know how. I

05:06 don't know why. I just know there's a

05:08 few fights on this card. If they lose,

05:10 this is our last time fighting for the

05:12 UFC. Um, but I'm going to go Jacob on

05:16 here just because we want to get as many

05:17 picks as we can, right? Uh, we're going

05:19 to go with U TKO. Okay. But I'm betting

05:23 GM3. Just know when you're watching the

05:24 fight and GM3 gets a sub, uh, we cashed.

05:27 Okay. Junior Taffa versus Kevin

05:30 Christian. This guy looks like

05:32 Komethazine. We have mentioned him on

05:34 this uh on this before. He just fought

05:36 not too long ago, five months ago

05:37 against Billy Ellen Ellen Connor. Billy

05:39 Ellen is a good fighter. Junior Taffa, a

05:42 few fights uh canled, right? He also

05:45 fought Billy Ellen and he also got

05:47 submitted. So Elen Connor is just

05:49 getting dubs off these guys. Junior Tafa

05:51 6 and five. His last win was a year and

05:53 a half ago.

05:56 Well, Taffa did really good in his last

05:57 fight against Helen Kana and then he

05:59 just got subbed.

06:01 Is that a sign that I should switch my

06:03 pick? I'm starting to cough. I'm going

06:04 to take that as a sign. I'm going Junior

06:07 Toffa here. TKO.

06:09 I started coughing. My throat started

06:11 feeling all weird. I got to listen. I

06:14 got to listen to myself, bro. Um, let's

06:17 move on. Cam Roen versus Robert Beast.

06:22 Uh, I'm going to go Cam Roen here. He's

06:25 a really really entertaining fighter.

06:27 Heavy heavy hands, lots of volume. I

06:29 feel like he ends up getting the win

06:31 here if not from TKO via decision. So,

06:34 I'm going to go with a decision win for

06:35 Cam Rosen. I know he's he's probably

06:37 going to look for the finish in this

06:38 fight. I just think that a lot of these

06:40 Polish people are very very durable. Um

06:43 they do not go out without a fight. So,

06:46 I'm going to go roasting decision.

06:55 How is this on the main card though?

06:57 Tied to Ivasa versus Louis Sutherland.

06:59 Okay, Louis Sutherland, he lost to

07:02 Walter Walker five months ago via heel

07:05 hook. It was a really quick submission

07:07 and he also lost to Brando Pieric by KO

07:10 and that was a month ago. and tied to

07:12 Ivasa. Uh I wouldn't even say that was a

07:16 war with Talis and Tixada. They were

07:17 both gassed. It was one of the funniest

07:19 fights I've seen. I'm not saying it

07:21 wasn't entertaining, but uh Taitovas has

07:24 last lost he's lost his last five

07:26 fights. Okay.

07:28 And

07:30 this is probably

07:34 probably his last fight if he loses.

07:38 If he can't beat Louis Sutherland,

07:42 I don't know who he beats. I do not know

07:44 who he beats, bro. Ty to Vasa is getting

07:46 smoked against Josh Hokit, Curtis

07:48 Blades, Alex Pereira, Sirill Gan. I know

07:51 he had a good fight against Sro Gan, but

07:53 that is just not the person who he is

07:55 right now, bro.

08:05 I'mma go tie to Iasa. I'mma go tie to

08:08 Iasa.

08:10 Louis Sutherland on the supplements

08:12 though all day. He's just not on him no

08:15 more. So I'm going tie to Iasa.

08:20 It He got attack. I think that was April

08:22 Fool's joke. I have no idea. It said

08:23 jiu-jitsu on the back. I'mma go

08:25 submission round two. I don't know how.

08:29 If there's a will, there's a way.

08:32 Next fight. Next fight. I don't even I

08:34 can't I can't even comprehend what's

08:35 going to there's no way someone could

08:37 confidently be like, "Yo, I'm taking Tai

08:38 to Ivasa and that's cash." I don't know.

08:42 I don't know. Shil Garcia versus Brando

08:45 Piich. Uh he's the one that beat Luis

08:47 Sutherland. Piich um he's on a fouright

08:50 win streak. Garcia has just lost against

08:53 Waldo Corteza. He he got knocked out.

08:56 I'm going to go with the underdog with

08:57 Shil. Shame is like 300 lb when he's not

09:00 uh fighting. So big guy, lots of power.

09:04 I do think he ends up getting a K.O.

09:06 gets a a bounceback win here against

09:07 Brando. I'm going to go with the round

09:10 two KO for Mr. Garcia.

09:13 Now, the man, the myth, the legend,

09:15 Marwan Rahiki. I really hope this fight

09:18 is not an insane war like his last two

09:21 fights. I love Marwan. One of the most

09:24 entertaining fighters I have ever seen

09:26 in my life. He's just getting hit way

09:28 too much. I really don't want him to get

09:30 hit. There was a a new opponent. Uh

09:32 other opponent fell fell out. Ali Schmid

09:36 is in. He's fighting out of New Zealand.

09:38 He is making his UFC debut and he's on

09:41 the main card against Maron. Rahiki. Uh

09:44 Rahiki just broke uh what's his name's

09:47 jaw uh Harry Hardwick's jaw uh like last

09:50 month. It's been a month and he's back.

09:52 So I'm going to go Rahiki KO round one.

09:56 I think that guy is going to get uh very

09:58 surprised by the UFC level. Maro and

10:00 Rahiki. He's a very entertaining

10:01 fighter. Not a lot of people know him.

10:02 I'm hoping we could get him on the

10:04 channel soon. Um, but Rahiki is a dog

10:07 and I got him all day. I got Steve Ersk

10:09 on this fight against Tim Elliot all

10:11 day. U, matchmaking has been very tough

10:14 for Steve Ersk. You know, he just got a

10:16 win against Ode Osborne. You got

10:18 Pantosia, right? Kai car friends and

10:20 Brandon Mareno. Like those are the the

10:22 the top top guys in his division. Um, so

10:26 I'm I'm going go with Steve Ersk all

10:28 day. Astro Boy, hometown favorite. I do

10:30 think Steve Ersk is really high level.

10:32 He's able to, you know, be very

10:34 technical and I feel like Tim Elliott is

10:36 not going to know the answers to all of

10:38 Steve Ursig's attacks. I'm going to go

10:40 with the decision win.

10:42 Actually, I'm going to go TKO. Round

10:44 round three TKO for Urs. Let's let's

10:46 switch it up here. Now, my intuition for

10:48 this fight, I do want to go into a

10:51 little bit more depth with these last

10:52 two just because a lot of these guy or

10:54 these guys right here are a little bit

10:55 more known and I have seen a lot of

10:57 their fights. So, we are able to kind of

10:59 go in depth with the the the game plan

11:01 of what I think is going to happen right

11:03 here with this co-main. Okay, so this

11:05 fight is three rounds. Benil Darush

11:07 versus Quillin Sa. We actually saw

11:09 Quillin in Vegas last time we were

11:11 there. He was partnering it up. He did

11:13 have aura. I'm not going to lie. Uh,

11:16 Sakill

11:17 knockout artist. Okay, Darush known to

11:20 have a paper chin as of late. You know,

11:22 he's been getting knocked out left and

11:24 right. And we just can't trust Benil

11:27 Darush when it comes to his chin. Sa

11:30 killed if he lands one time is Night and

11:33 that's the biggest like what if like

11:35 what if Darush just doesn't get hit. He

11:38 has the experience. He's been fine for a

11:40 long time. And honestly, I think Benil

11:42 Darush has an advantage when it comes to

11:44 grappling. Even though Salkild has been

11:46 a grappler, he wrestles a lot. I just

11:48 think that Darush may have some answers

11:51 and be able to maybe win a few rounds

11:53 against South Kill if they if that

11:55 happens. You know, if he if he escapes

11:56 the first round, I think Skild um might

12:00 be a little surprised from Darushi's

12:02 grappling. I mean, we could think of the

12:03 Hinata Moanu fight where he kind of

12:05 outpaced Hinato, and that could be on

12:07 Moanu's part, but I feel like Darush is

12:09 a little underrated when it comes to

12:10 that, but I know a lot of people, you

12:13 know, especially Bedtime MMA are

12:15 expecting a first round finish. And I'm

12:18 going to go with a second round finish

12:21 for Quillin Sill. I know he just got a

12:24 submission in his last fight, switching

12:25 it up a little bit, but I am very

12:27 curious to see if Daru surprises Quillin

12:30 a little bit. maybe in the first round

12:32 or so just being able to uh withstand

12:35 the attacks, find his his uh his range,

12:38 but at the end of the day, I can't um I

12:42 can't go against Quillin. He is a Garin

12:44 Warrior, you know, he's he's a part of

12:46 the Ga squad. So, I'm I'm rocking

12:47 Quillin South, just not round one KO,

12:50 even though I feel like that's what

12:51 majority of people are going to be

12:53 placing their money on. I think maybe

12:54 round two or three where he gets to

12:56 finish. So, that's where I'm going with

12:58 Southkilled here. round uh round two and

13:01 uh 94% of people are going with uh

13:04 Quillin. So

13:07 not surprised. I'm not surprised at all.

13:08 I don't know what I don't know what

13:09 Daruj did to deserve that type of

13:11 treatment. He was going to go against

13:12 Manuel Torres, right? Also a knockout

13:14 artist doesn't get outside the first

13:16 round. I don't know what he did at all.

13:19 So we're here. We're at the main event.

13:22 Jack Dela Matilena versus Carlos Proz.

13:25 And man oh man, isn't this a good

13:27 matchup? So, we got some standard boxing

13:30 and jiu-jitsu versus a pure Muay Thai

13:33 striker. This is going to be good

13:35 because JDM is the the one that has the

13:37 most weapons when it comes to this

13:38 matchup. He could use it the wrestling,

13:40 he could use the jiu-jitsu, the Craig

13:42 Jones type of jiu-jitsu, he could also

13:44 use the boxing. And Carlos Prozes, he's

13:47 very tall. He's able to use his his his

13:50 uh size very well throughout the fight.

13:54 So with Protis being a Muay Thai

13:56 fighter, you know, the clinch is going

13:57 to be really good for him, throwing

13:58 those knees, a lot of those calf kicks.

14:00 He's definitely not afraid of throwing

14:02 calf kicks and using a lot of power when

14:04 it comes to those shots. And Carlos

14:06 Protesus is a knockout artist. You know,

14:07 he knocked out Leon Edwards. He knocked

14:09 out Jeff Neil. And JDM's coming off his

14:11 worst loss of his career. It was against

14:14 Islam Makachev, but he did mentally

14:16 break. So, we can't forget about that.

14:18 You know, if especially if you just

14:20 mentally broken your last fight, you're

14:22 probably going to have a little a few

14:23 moments where you're just like, "Oh, I'm

14:25 back in this type of position. I'm back

14:27 here." And it's up to Jack to really

14:29 step up to the occasion. You know, he

14:31 lost his first few fights in his career

14:33 and went on an insane run. So, I'm not

14:35 saying JDM doesn't have heart, but, you

14:37 know, coming back, there might be a

14:38 little bit of some adjusting that I'm

14:40 thinking that's going to be taking place

14:43 if Carlos Proz puts him there

14:45 endurance-wise. that the key to this

14:47 fight I think is going to be the

14:48 grappling especially if JDM takes Pratis

14:52 down and Pis can't get out. I feel like

14:54 Pratis did a really good job against

14:55 Leon uh Edwards kind of just you know

14:57 mocking Leon as as the fight was

14:59 progressing saying it was boring. He was

15:01 being held against the cage and you got

15:02 that infamous um you know photo of of

15:05 Leon punching him and Pro is not not

15:07 giving a damn. So um this one's tough

15:11 you know this one's a tough fight to

15:12 predict. uh fairly even minus 110 for

15:15 each one of these guys and I'm going

15:18 JDM. If this fight was anywhere else, I

15:22 think Carlos Pro takes it. I just know

15:25 that Jack Dela, him being a former

15:27 champion, him being his home country,

15:30 he's going to have an extra pep in his

15:31 step, extra energy, and extra motivation

15:34 to be able to get the job done. If this

15:35 fight was in Brazil, I'm low-key taking

15:38 Carlos Pratus on this one, bro. And I'm

15:40 not saying I'm not a Carlos Pratis fan,

15:42 but I do think the grappling is going to

15:44 be a big question mark on what happens

15:46 on Saturday night. And I have no idea if

15:49 I'm going be awake during this fight, if

15:50 I'm going to wake up and see something,

15:52 but I wouldn't be surprised if I wake up

15:54 and I see pictures of Carlos Pratis

15:57 celebrating with a cigarette in his

15:59 mouth, bro. I wouldn't be surprised. So,

16:01 it's literally one of those fights where

16:02 it's a tossup. And honestly, it's been

16:04 tough for me to kind of predict the main

16:06 events, bro. I've been struggling as of

16:08 late. That's why I've been I've been

16:09 trying to, you know, focus and actually

16:11 take my time with this pick and honestly

16:13 try to do some some breakdown on this

16:15 type of fight just because I know JDM

16:17 he's going to be able to find his range

16:19 and and Protest is going to make it very

16:20 uncomfortable to for Jack to be able to

16:22 to get close enough to be able to do

16:24 that. U when it comes to uh the the the

16:27 reach advantage, Protest has a 5 in

16:30 reach advantage, which will play a role,

16:31 especially if he could utilize his jab.

16:33 And uh he's only 2 in taller, which is

16:35 not huge, but it's definitely something

16:37 to notice. So, I'm going Jack Dela Matt

16:40 Elena via buggy choke round

16:45 four. All right, I say it goes into that

16:48 that realm. Round two, three or four.

16:52 We'll see how it goes. Bro, I'm actually

16:54 really pumped for this card. I really

16:55 wish it was at like 900 p.m. or

16:57 something. But Australian fans, I guess

16:59 you guys could, you know, you guys you

17:02 guys uh you guys do that with the cards

17:03 over here in the US. So, can't complain.

17:05 Especially the UK fans. I know you guys

17:07 are out there staying up uh in the in

17:10 the late hours, in the early hours of

17:12 the day to watch the fight. So, um this

17:15 one this one's going to be good. So, let

17:16 me know you guys' predictions. I'm

17:17 really hoping that we cook on these uh

17:20 on this card because our last our last

17:21 few cards have not been fire. Let's just

17:24 say let's just leave it at that. They

17:26 have not been the best, but we we we

17:29 locked in on this one. So, I hope you

17:30 guys enjoy. I'll catch you guys on the

17:32 next episode. And comment down below

17:34 your favorite fight on this card. I'll

17:36 catch you guys later. We out. Peace.

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