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Ryan Pineda Breaks Silence On Quitting Real Estate
Ryan Pineda · Watch on YouTube · Generated with SnapSummary · 2026-10-13

00:00 I basically had an 18-month stretch

00:02 where I made a lot of really bad

00:03 decisions. Basically, I got into the

00:05 four hardest things I've ever had to go

00:07 through. Um, by just like not being

00:09 smart and taking my eye off the ball,

00:11 but yet I still have to deal with the

00:12 repercussions of it and all that stuff.

00:14 But then you also think like

00:16 [clears throat] I'm going to deal with

00:17 it 20 years from now, you know, 10 years

00:19 from now. Not maybe financially, but

00:21 just people yapping, right? Because I

00:23 think about it too like tons of

00:24 entrepreneurs who have failed [music] at

00:25 things and it's like oh well he went

00:27 bankrupt here and he did this

00:29 >> and I think real estate's in a

00:30 depression.

00:31 >> Oh yeah.

00:32 >> And we're going to find out

00:34 >> by the summer if we're in a nasty

00:36 recession or if this AI thing is big

00:38 enough [music] to kind of pull us out.

00:40 And I don't have the answer today. I

00:41 don't know.

00:42 >> The real estate market right now is

00:44 [music] not a good vehicle with a

00:46 >> Yeah. Like all the momentum is against

00:49 you. All the wind is against you.

00:50 [music] like it's hard. All righty,

00:53 folks. Welcome to the wealthy way. And

00:55 yes, I am not Ryan Peneda. My name is

00:57 Michael Zuber and I get the pleasure of

00:59 sitting in the big chair. I will tell

01:01 you it's not very comfortable. He's got

01:02 to get a better chair. But hey, let's

01:04 welcome Ryan Panea to the show. He's got

01:06 some big news, man. How you doing?

01:08 >> Well, you know, it caused quite a

01:09 firestorm.

01:10 >> Yeah, there you go.

01:11 >> About 48 hours ago, you dropped a bomb

01:13 on the real estate world. Why don't you

01:14 share with us what that was? Yeah, I

01:17 mean I just announced that I was

01:18 shutting down my house flipping

01:19 wholesaling business and I honestly

01:21 wasn't even going to make a video about

01:22 it because I just was like going to do

01:24 it and ride off into the sunset and then

01:26 [laughter] like I was like I'll just

01:28 film a video and so I make this

01:30 literally a 9minute reel

01:32 >> and a long reel.

01:33 >> It's a long reel and and Instagram tells

01:34 you if it's over three minutes they're

01:36 not going to show it to anybody. I was

01:37 like, "All right, whatever. I'll just

01:39 make it." And then uh it just goes mega

01:41 viral. And um I don't I can't think of

01:44 another time a video in real estate got

01:46 reacted to so much. Yeah. I mean, I was

01:50 in Orlando at the Bigger Pockets event

01:52 and I must have had 20 people come up to

01:54 me and go, "Did you see the news? Did

01:55 you see the news?"

01:56 >> Dang.

01:56 >> And I'm like, "What news?" And like

01:58 Ryan, I'm like, "Ryan and I are boys.

02:00 What what what happened? Was he okay?"

02:01 >> It's like he quit. He died.

02:03 >> I didn't know what they gave up. He

02:05 failed. Yeah. I mean, I didn't know what

02:06 they were saying cuz I didn't I wasn't

02:08 checking my phone cuz I was at the event

02:09 and yeah, the plane quit. So,

02:11 >> um I guess I want to start off with this

02:13 first question because I do have a list

02:14 of questions.

02:15 >> And the first one, Ryan, is are you a

02:17 quitter? Quit a You quit a lot of

02:19 things. They keep quitting.

02:21 >> Dude, I am I guess a quitter. Um yeah,

02:24 I've I've quit a lot of different

02:25 businesses, a lot of different things

02:26 over time. Um

02:28 >> quit smoking, you quit drinking.

02:31 [laughter]

02:31 >> Never smoked. Um, but well, I guess I

02:34 smoke cigars now. But no, I think uh

02:37 look, I've quit as a baseball player.

02:39 I've quit as a couch flipper. Um,

02:42 obviously I'm quitting as a flipper and

02:43 a wholesaler now. I've quit other

02:45 businesses and uh yeah, if the

02:48 definition of not doing something

02:49 anymore is quitting, then yeah, I've

02:51 I've quit a lot of things.

02:52 >> Dang.

02:52 >> Uh, Ryan, you've you've been with Ryan a

02:54 long time. Do you see him as a quitter?

02:56 >> Uh, no. I think I see him as someone who

03:00 doesn't find his identity in the

03:03 business that he does. So, a lot of real

03:06 estate people, they can't relate to that

03:08 because a lot of realtors and now I'm

03:10 noticing real estate investors, they

03:13 can't fathom doing another business. So,

03:16 if someone leaves the business, they see

03:18 them as a quitter and a failure. Um, but

03:22 I have a question for you. Do you think

03:23 that he's a quitter?

03:24 >> No, I don't think Ryan's a quitter. I

03:26 think I think what I've watched Ryan and

03:27 I've only known him for five or six

03:29 years. I think he constantly evolves.

03:31 >> Yeah.

03:32 >> Right. I think he's I think he took

03:33 something from his baseball career. He

03:35 took something from couch flipping. He's

03:36 going to take something from real

03:37 estate.

03:38 >> Yeah.

03:38 >> And you know, I've I've known M19 since

03:40 probably the month after it was created.

03:42 >> Yeah.

03:43 >> And it was already a wild success. And I

03:45 was already looking out going,

03:47 >> that's going to be his thing because

03:48 that just feels like who he is. It's

03:50 it's athletic. It's sports. It's social.

03:53 It's just who Ryan is. Yeah, real estate

03:55 was just the way you made some money for

03:57 a while.

03:58 >> Yeah.

03:58 >> Right. I don't think it was ever who you

04:00 were, but

04:00 >> No, I And I never liked real estate. I

04:02 mean, I' I've said this on the show many

04:04 times. Like, and and to give people

04:06 context for those who hadn't seen the

04:08 Instagram, I'll I'll summarize kind of

04:09 what it was.

04:11 >> So, you know, I've been in the game

04:13 since 2010 as a realtor. Um that was the

04:16 first time I quit real.

04:17 >> Yeah. You quit that, too? Yeah.

04:18 >> Yeah, I quit that. Um I did it for like

04:19 two years. I quit. I said, "This sucks."

04:21 End up getting Yeah. It was too hard. It

04:23 was way hard. Yeah.

04:24 >> And I got tired of selling $100,000

04:27 houses and making three grand. It was

04:29 just

04:29 >> like 15 because you got to play with the

04:30 broker.

04:31 >> Yeah. It was just not worth it. And so I

04:32 quit. Got into couch flipping. Made 10

04:34 grand a month flipping couches. And that

04:36 was great. And then I get into flipping

04:38 houses in 2015. Um since then the last

04:41 what is that 11 years we've done almost

04:43 a thousand deals of flips and

04:44 wholesales. And you know it's been a fun

04:48 ride. But um the the good news is the

04:51 last I call it five years or so, I

04:54 haven't really spent much time in the

04:56 business. Um and that's the only reason

04:57 I've been able to do podcasting and

05:00 >> Wealth Cons and all the other stuff that

05:02 I've done because that business has been

05:04 able to run without me. And um the

05:06 extent of my effort into it has been

05:08 about an hour a week for like five

05:11 years. And I I attribute that not to me

05:14 but to the team that you you've you've

05:16 seen the team up there. I mean, I've got

05:18 guys who've been with me for many years.

05:20 >> They they've closed those hundreds and

05:22 hundreds of deals, not me,

05:23 >> right?

05:23 >> You know, it has my name on it, but they

05:26 are the ones doing all the work. And so,

05:28 you know, for me, I've had the privilege

05:30 of being able to kind of be pretty

05:31 passive in that business for all these

05:33 years and focus on the other ones. And

05:35 um, you know, we've been through tough

05:37 times before. So, it's not like I this

05:40 season was harder than 2022. 2022 was

05:43 way more difficult. I mean, I was

05:45 sitting on 50 house flips that uh were

05:48 all going negative.

05:49 >> You're bleeding.

05:49 >> Yeah. And I was going to lose millions

05:50 and I did.

05:52 >> Like, that was a way harder time. But at

05:54 that time, I had no choice. It was like,

05:56 look, we I have to pay back these

05:58 investors.

05:59 >> This is the best thing I'm good at is

06:01 this and teaching people. And so, like,

06:03 I'm going to have to just dig myself out

06:05 of this. And so, we did and, you know,

06:07 rebuilt it and started wholesaling

06:09 predominantly.

06:10 >> And so, for the last uh call it three

06:12 years, it's been mainly wholesale. like

06:13 I got away from flipping mainly just

06:16 wholesaliled and then you know the last

06:18 two quarters this year in 2026 um have

06:21 basically like broke even slashlost

06:24 >> depending on how we do the the finances

06:26 but you know I'm doing my quarterly

06:28 meeting with my coach Gary and I'm just

06:30 like man

06:31 >> Harper. Yeah, Gary Harper. And I'm like

06:32 dude what do we got to do to fix it? And

06:34 and dude I've been doing quarterly

06:36 meetings for seven years now and so

06:38 fixing something is just part of

06:39 quarterlys. and he's like, "Well, here's

06:42 what all the big people are doing.

06:43 Here's um you know, some are flipping

06:45 again. Some are taking down deals

06:46 themselves cuz it's harder to sell. Um

06:49 they're doing inerson appointments now.

06:51 They're changing this thing and that

06:53 thing." And I'm like, "Bro, that's like

06:55 completely shifting the whole business

06:57 back to what I don't want to do,

06:58 >> right?"

06:59 >> He's like, "Well, that's what it's like.

07:01 That's what most people are doing to be

07:02 successful." And I'm just like, "Dude,

07:05 I'm not willing to do it,

07:06 >> right?

07:06 >> I I'm just not going to do it." And I

07:08 said, "What's the reason to do it? Give

07:10 me what's the upside? I I understand the

07:12 work. What's the upside?" And he said,

07:13 "Well, you know, the upside's getting

07:16 back to, you know, two million bucks a

07:18 year, three million bucks a year." And

07:19 I'm just like, "That's peanuts compared

07:21 to everything else going on,

07:23 >> right?"

07:23 >> You know, we have six other things going

07:24 on. M19, the Taylor Tax, Peneta

07:27 Partners, this podcast, uh, Dad Built,

07:30 uh, we're launching the Christian Toys,

07:31 and I'm just like, these all six of

07:33 those are better than this,

07:35 >> right? and I enjoy them more and they're

07:40 not cyclical, you know, with this market

07:42 and I think the market's getting way

07:43 worse.

07:44 >> And so if I think the market's about to

07:46 get way worse and it's going to be way

07:47 more he headache and like why am I going

07:49 to keep doing this damage?

07:50 >> Yeah. And everybody in the meeting was

07:52 like I was like somebody give me a good

07:54 reason to keep going. Somebody has to

07:56 give a good reason. And you know Michael

07:58 who's the head over there he's like I

08:00 don't have a good logical reason. I just

08:02 only have emotional reasons. and the

08:04 emotion, it's like I've been here for

08:05 eight years. Like I don't want to see it

08:08 just die and and all that and like

08:10 there's all these memories and all this,

08:12 but I don't have a good logical

08:14 financial reason.

08:16 So, you know, I went home that night and

08:18 I prayed about it and I woke up in the

08:19 morning and I felt peace and I just

08:21 decided on Friday I said, "Guys, I'm

08:23 just shutting it down."

08:24 >> Damn.

08:25 >> And he was there. I was just like, "I'm

08:28 shutting it down, dude." And um

08:29 >> not when he woke up, but later

08:31 >> he was there in my bed. We woke up

08:32 >> your breakfast in bed.

08:33 >> Yeah. Like it was, you know, it was it

08:36 was weird. Um, [laughter]

08:37 >> not the first time I

08:38 >> Yeah. I I don't even like I was in his

08:40 house. I don't even know how I got

08:42 roofied. I got roofied. So anyways,

08:46 yeah, I just I I went to him and I was

08:48 just like, "Guys, here's the situation.

08:50 Like, let's just shut this down and and

08:52 here's, you know, all the reasons why

08:54 and here's what I want to do. I want to

08:55 put you guys in sales roles in these

08:57 other companies that we have that I

08:58 think you're going to crush it in." I

09:00 think if and I said this in my video

09:01 too. If you're a real estate person

09:03 right now in sales, real estate's mainly

09:05 all sales people. I'm like, look, if you

09:07 could sell right now today in this

09:08 market, bro, selling other stuff is like

09:10 way easier.

09:11 >> And you don't got to deal with uh

09:14 waiting two months to get paid. If it it

09:16 falls out of escrow or finding a buyer,

09:18 if you're flipping, wait six to nine

09:20 months to get paid. I'm like, dude, we

09:22 sell stuff every day online. You get

09:24 paid that day. The cash conversion cycle

09:27 is a day. cash conversion cycle in real

09:28 estate's months or years. And I said,

09:31 "You guys are going to love this new

09:33 type of sales and you guys have already

09:34 seen it from all the other salespeople.

09:36 Like you, they're literally the least

09:37 paid salespeople." And so I said, "I'm

09:40 kind of doing you guys a disservice by

09:42 even keeping you in this when I know you

09:43 could make more elsewhere."

09:45 >> And so they all bought in and you know,

09:47 Monday was our first day. One guy

09:49 already sold 20K and like that's more

09:51 than a wholesale fee on day one. It's

09:53 already done. and he's like, "Wow, this

09:55 is

09:56 >> this is this is this is better." So,

09:58 yeah. Anyways, that's kind of like how

10:00 it led to that point. And I basically

10:02 just uh I said the rest in that video. I

10:05 said, "Look, just cuz I'm quitting

10:06 doesn't mean I think real estate's dead.

10:09 I don't think you can't make money

10:10 flipping or wholesaling. I think there's

10:12 plenty of people still doing it at a

10:14 high level. They've been on this show."

10:16 But I said, "For me, it it really is

10:19 like couch flipping at this point."

10:21 >> Sure. It's like it was great for what it

10:24 was for all these years.

10:25 >> Season for you. Yeah.

10:25 >> And now it's over and it's a season. And

10:27 um you know part of that too I said was

10:30 like look and and in this season I also

10:33 don't want to coach real estate if I

10:34 don't do it right.

10:35 >> I just don't for me I know that there

10:37 are plenty of coaches who stop doing it

10:38 and coach and like I still have no shade

10:40 at that because like if you're a good

10:41 coach in my mind you're a good coach

10:43 even if you don't.

10:44 >> Tom Ferry one of the best real estate

10:46 agents never been to the city. Yeah.

10:47 >> Yeah. I don't even think he's ever sold

10:49 houses. So, it's like, look, if you're a

10:51 good coach, you're a good coach. Um, but

10:52 for me, I've just always been a player

10:54 coach.

10:55 >> And I'm like, I if I don't do it, I

10:57 don't I don't want to sell it or coach

10:58 it. And so,

11:00 >> you know, I told everyone at Wealthy

11:01 Investor, I said, you know, we're going

11:03 to put you guys in new roles, too. And,

11:05 um, you know, we'll continue to fulfill

11:06 on the current students we have. We'll

11:08 give them all the leads and softwares

11:09 and coaching and everything they've

11:10 bought, but we're not going to sell

11:12 anymore. And we'll we'll wind that down

11:14 as it winds down. and um you know we'll

11:17 focus on all the things that we know are

11:19 in the next season.

11:20 >> Yeah. So I got a bunch of questions

11:21 there. I do want to talk a little bit

11:22 more about flipping and wholesaling

11:23 business just so people get context and

11:25 then we'll switch to the next season. So

11:27 you talked earlier about you having done

11:29 a thousand been a part of nearly a

11:31 thousand transactions. I wanted to

11:32 divide that up because there was a time

11:34 you were hands-on. Yeah.

11:36 >> And you were in the room and you were

11:37 negotiating and then like you said the

11:39 last four years it was an hour an hour a

11:41 week.

11:41 >> Yeah. So I want to kind of divide that

11:43 for folks like the first season when

11:44 Ryan was 80% of the effort 100 200

11:48 transactions and then the other 800 was

11:51 the bigger team or what what was that

11:52 divide

11:53 >> I think so the first three years I I got

11:56 all the deals and so I did five 20 and

11:58 then 50 so

12:00 >> call it 100

12:00 >> 75 right there right

12:02 >> and um I really only had my friend Nick

12:06 who became my partner at the real estate

12:07 brokerage we started which is another

12:09 business I quit we had 200

12:10 >> agents quit quits quit.

12:12 >> Quit quit.

12:13 >> Well, you know,

12:14 >> it's called evolve. I'm just teasing.

12:15 >> Yeah. And it's like, you know,

12:16 >> was he chasing hot money like you said

12:18 on your

12:19 >> Yeah, I want to bring that up.

12:20 >> We'll talk about chasing hot money. I've

12:21 done that, too. Quit. I've chased hot

12:23 money. But, um, is there any other type

12:26 of money? Is there cold money?

12:27 >> There's fast money, hot money.

12:30 >> Okay. Pattern of exit.

12:31 >> I don't chase slow money, that's for

12:32 sure. But, um, with fair enough

12:35 [laughter]

12:36 >> with with Yeah. With the flips, let's

12:37 say, so the first 75 I found all by

12:39 myself. Um, and then I I brought on my

12:42 Nick or Nick and he ended up being like

12:44 the listing agent and stuff and we

12:46 started a brokerage. Then my fourth year

12:48 we did 150 and that was the first time I

12:50 hired other people to start getting

12:51 deals for me.

12:53 >> And if I had to guess, I probably still

12:55 was responsible for half of them. Okay.

12:57 >> Um, and then they got the other half.

12:58 And

12:59 >> so I don't know, maybe I got 150 to 200

13:02 of

13:02 >> Yeah. So again, the point of this is you

13:04 did a thousand. Yeah.

13:05 >> But the bigger business did the

13:06 majority.

13:08 >> Yeah. For sure.

13:09 >> Right. Right.

13:09 >> Yep. So again, um, that just shows that

13:12 you were running a team and process. It

13:14 wasn't Ryan. It may have been Ryan

13:15 Peneda the name.

13:16 >> Yeah.

13:17 >> But it was, I don't know, a dozen other

13:19 people

13:19 >> for sure.

13:20 >> Dozens over the years. It's a decade.

13:23 >> And that was the other thing again. I

13:24 don't think people realize throwing

13:25 shade at you today, how big of an

13:27 operation this thing can get.

13:29 >> Yeah.

13:29 >> Right. Veras and headcount and, you

13:32 know, marketing spend and and all of

13:33 this. That's all that's all outgo.

13:38 So,

13:38 >> yeah. get can you give us a feel for

13:40 just how big that team was, you know,

13:42 headcount wise or

13:43 >> Yeah, you know what's interesting? So, I

13:45 had um Noel, my sister and CFO kind of

13:47 look into I was like, "So, like what did

13:49 we actually do now that we're just

13:50 calling it quits essentially like what?

13:52 >> Let's look at the income statement."

13:53 >> Yeah. Like what ended up happening? Um

13:56 >> and we weren't keeping great books 10

13:58 years ago the way we do today. But she's

14:01 like approximately what ended up

14:03 happening was over 150 million in deals.

14:06 >> So top line

14:07 >> revenue. Well, like without houses, no,

14:10 just like house total value.

14:11 >> Yeah. Yeah. Um, ended up being about 15

14:14 million and what we call just gross

14:15 profit, like the profit on the flips.

14:18 So, and that's actually that lines up

14:20 because that's what we try to make on a

14:21 house flip, 10%.

14:22 >> Um, and then even I'll just be

14:24 transparent on the education side, we

14:26 ended up doing about 40 million plus at

14:28 Wealthy Investor, teaching people how to

14:30 >> for how long, eight years ish.

14:32 >> I I founded it at Future Flipper in

14:34 2018. Didn't get real serious until

14:36 2020. So call it seven 40 million. So

14:39 that's

14:40 >> Yeah.

14:40 >> Whatever that is almost that's five and

14:42 a half million a year just simple math.

14:43 >> Yeah. Yeah. It basically was like at

14:45 nothing. And then we were doing 10

14:47 million a year for a couple years and

14:48 then I think last year in 25 we did 8

14:51 million. And then um as M19 scaled I

14:54 just was like yeah I'm not doing any

14:56 webinars. I'm not like

14:58 >> no more pip

14:58 >> no more wealthcons. No more webinars.

15:00 This is like way better. So

15:01 >> that's another quick Yeah.

15:03 >> Yeah. Yep.

15:03 >> You were doing those quarterly for a

15:04 while. That had to be that was a heavy

15:06 lift. Yeah, Brunson was Russell Brunson

15:08 was here and he was like, "How do you do

15:09 that?" I'm like, "I don't know. We just

15:10 do it."

15:11 >> Yeah. So, the one thing that always

15:13 enamored me, I call you a unicorn. I've

15:15 called you that to your face. I call you

15:16 that online. It's meant as a compliment.

15:18 >> Yeah.

15:18 >> Um your ability to

15:22 um see kind of like the future right

15:25 closer to you.

15:26 >> Oh, sorry. Your ability to kind of see

15:28 the future and where you can take your

15:29 expertise, both athletic, social media,

15:32 execution, leadership, is really second

15:35 to none. at least that I've seen. Um, do

15:37 you realize, you know, how unique you

15:39 are in that or is it just you're

15:40 Superman and you don't know your

15:42 Superman?

15:43 >> Um, I don't really think about me too

15:46 much. I just like observe the world and

15:48 what people are doing and what they want

15:50 and where the world's headed and I just

15:51 try to do what I think is going to be

15:55 the next smart play. I mean, it's like

15:57 sports. It's like if you can see the

15:59 pass and the play before it happens and

16:01 everyone else can see it,

16:02 >> right?

16:02 >> You just go to where you think the

16:04 ball's going to be.

16:04 >> Yeah. R Wayne Wayne Gretzky, right? Go.

16:06 >> Yeah. And sometimes you're wrong, but a

16:08 lot of times you're right.

16:09 >> Yeah.

16:09 >> You know, throughout the course of a

16:10 game, you're going to be wrong and miss

16:12 a lot. But over the course of the whole

16:14 game, you look at the stat sheet and

16:15 you're like, "Okay, he was right a lot

16:17 more than he was wrong." Hey, real

16:18 quick. I'm looking for one company to

16:20 partner with this month and run their

16:22 entire marketing and sales department.

16:24 That means we're going to run their ads,

16:26 build their funnels, manage their CRM,

16:28 hire and train their sales team and

16:30 manage them and just handle all of the

16:32 front-end revenue for this business. All

16:34 you would have to do is just manage

16:36 fulfillment and serve your clients well.

16:39 And for doing this, we're not going to

16:40 do any kind of equity. It is just going

16:42 to be a profit share agreement. So, if

16:44 any of that sounds interesting to you,

16:46 go to panapartners.com

16:49 right now. You can apply today. We're

16:51 only taking on one company and so if you

16:54 think your company's a fit, make sure

16:56 you apply today. You've got to be doing

16:57 at least $50,000 a month in revenue in

17:00 order for us to even look at it. So go

17:02 to panat partners.com today.

17:04 >> Brian, let's bring you into this

17:05 conversation. Obviously, if one of

17:06 Ryan's boys, you probably saw the

17:08 firestorm online, right? Other people

17:10 doing the Instagram feed.

17:12 >> Yeah. Yeah, I saw your reaction, too.

17:13 >> I did do an Instagram feed, but

17:14 >> you did a YouTube

17:15 >> I did a YouTube video. Absolutely. Yeah.

17:17 And

17:17 >> what' you say on your YouTube?

17:19 >> I basically

17:19 >> I want to confront you right now. Mike,

17:21 >> hey, much that was a clip. That was the

17:23 clip.

17:23 >> Okay. As much as you give to me.

17:25 >> Yeah.

17:26 >> Um, I said there's two ways to go in

17:28 this business. You can chase quick money

17:29 or you can go for the future. I came to

17:31 real estate cuz I wanted to retire at

17:32 65.

17:33 >> Yeah.

17:33 >> Ryan was after quicker money than me and

17:35 it's hard today.

17:36 >> Yeah.

17:37 >> It's not wrong or wrong.

17:38 >> Do you feel like he's chasing uh fast

17:42 money or hard f You said he's chasing

17:45 fast money or hot money?

17:47 >> Sure. not focus on building long-term

17:50 wealth.

17:51 >> I think if you're in the wholesaling and

17:52 flipping business, it's active income.

17:54 It's not wealth b wealth generating.

17:56 >> I don't think that's inaccurate.

17:58 >> I think Well, okay. Well, so I won't

18:02 talk about what I think, but anything

18:04 else? Uh any other feedback on what you

18:07 see Ryan doing?

18:08 >> So, I mean, I I have no problem with it.

18:09 When I saw Ryan do that video and then I

18:11 really liked your post the next day. I

18:13 think it was the next day. Yeah. Where

18:14 you showed the dashboard.

18:15 >> Yeah. Yeah. I'm like, "Guys, if you

18:17 don't get it now, [laughter]

18:18 >> Yeah.

18:19 >> you're you're missing the point, right?"

18:20 He basically told us, and again, he

18:22 didn't say the one hour in the video. I

18:23 don't think I knew he spent time. I

18:25 didn't know it was that little.

18:26 >> Yeah.

18:27 >> But going through this hard season with

18:28 a bunch of people and all that outgoing.

18:33 It makes complete sense that you at

18:34 least pull back, if not quit, given you

18:36 have all these other commitments. I knew

18:38 he had M19. I knew he had Dad Built. I

18:41 knew he had Panada Partners. I had no

18:43 idea he had Christian toys and all these

18:45 other things going. Dude's only got 24

18:47 hours in the day.

18:48 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

18:48 >> Right. I mean, he's got to give.

18:50 >> But you think what he's doing is not

18:52 building wealth.

18:54 >> I think M19, Dad Built, Pana Partners,

18:57 the only three I know about are

18:59 potentially wealth building. Wholesaling

19:01 is flipping is active income.

19:03 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Okay.

19:04 >> Yeah. And I agree with that statement.

19:06 Like I think flipping and wholesaling

19:08 are always just cash businesses that

19:09 make money quick.

19:10 >> Enterprise value. There's no enterprise

19:12 value. There's nothing with that. Um,

19:15 >> but there is skills that you learn that

19:17 help you build wealth and then obviously

19:19 all the income that you're making.

19:22 >> Yeah.

19:22 >> Right. Social med all. Dude, we all

19:24 should be learning. We should all be

19:25 growing. Absolutely.

19:26 >> Yeah.

19:27 >> Well, I think you're a good example of

19:28 somebody who's doing both. Like you're

19:30 you're wholesaling and flipping. You've

19:32 been doing it for a long time, but

19:33 you're you're buying rentals. You're

19:35 trying to pay them off. Yeah.

19:36 >> You're actually Michael Zuber is what

19:38 you are. I'm like a younger Hispanic, a

19:41 lot more strong kids. Congratulations,

19:43 kid number six.

19:44 >> Thank you. Yeah,

19:45 >> you're you're going to have the handle.

19:47 Two rentals at a time.

19:48 >> Yeah.

19:50 >> You [laughter] buy I buy duplex.

19:51 >> As soon as they're paid off, I'm going

19:53 to start selling coaching on how to buy

19:54 rentals. I'll be like, "Dude, I crushed

19:56 it. It's so good."

19:58 >> Yeah.

19:58 >> No, but um No, but yeah. No, I just

20:00 thought it was interesting that I the

20:02 way I was interpreting it was him

20:04 focusing on M19 is not long-term wealth.

20:07 No, didn't say that. But what people

20:09 don't understand is most ultra wealthy

20:13 people get there by building a business.

20:16 It's not by investing.

20:18 >> What's ultra wealthy?

20:20 >> We'll say 10 million plus.

20:22 >> Yeah. 10 million plus. Like a million

20:23 bucks. Yeah. You can get there through

20:25 real estate, but 10 million plus.

20:27 >> Normally,

20:28 >> if you want a big number, you want 10,

20:30 you want a 100, you want a billion.

20:31 >> Even like be a bill, it's going to be

20:33 >> you have to build something that's worth

20:36 a lot of money. too. If you want five

20:38 while you're young,

20:39 >> I was going to say, are you even 40 yet?

20:41 >> No.

20:41 >> See, yeah. If you're going to build a $5

20:43 million in value in your 30s, yeah, it

20:46 ain't coming from.

20:47 >> So, people need to rethink how they see

20:49 building wealth because they think like

20:51 the only way to build wealth is by

20:53 buying stocks or by buying real estate.

20:57 And that's maybe more sure, which I

21:00 wouldn't even agree with, but that's

21:01 most people like gurus like

21:04 you got to own assets. But I don't think

21:06 people know what an asset is.

21:07 >> Yeah.

21:08 >> Right. Most people think assets are

21:09 stocks or houses. That's

21:10 >> But assets can be a business.

21:12 Absolutely.

21:12 >> Yeah. No, I mean, the most valuable

21:14 assets in the world are businesses.

21:15 That's what the stock market is,

21:16 >> of course.

21:17 >> But like, you know, I I think two things

21:19 I want to touch on here that we're

21:21 talking about. One is real estate still.

21:24 Like, and I said this in the video, I

21:25 forgot to mention it, but like I'm not

21:26 quitting real estate. Like I'm still

21:29 gonna buy real estate

21:30 >> for Ryan, for your wife,

21:31 >> for Ryan, for personal, for a building,

21:34 for all these little tent makers, for

21:36 you know, it's cool development deals.

21:38 Like, I'll still buy, but I'm done with

21:40 it on active income. Essentially,

21:43 >> I'm going to become like Zuber

21:44 essentially.

21:45 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

21:46 >> Like, I'll buy actual wealth building

21:48 real estate, but I I don't think I'll

21:49 ever use real estate to make active

21:51 income again. Now, never saying never,

21:52 but

21:53 >> if things ever hit the fan, you'll see

21:54 me wholesaling. That's basically that's

21:57 worst scenario. Yeah. Like if I start

21:59 wholesaling again, things hit the fan.

22:01 [laughter]

22:01 >> Yeah. No, because that's what I will be

22:03 signed.

22:03 >> Yeah. And that's what I told myself too

22:04 when I first got into flipping 10 years

22:06 ago. I was like, look, I could always

22:08 flip couches again. If things really hit

22:10 the fan, I'll flip couches.

22:11 >> That that gives you so much confidence

22:13 that you know what your oh backup

22:15 plan is.

22:15 >> Yeah.

22:16 >> Yeah.

22:16 >> Yeah. And that means you can go for it.

22:18 >> Yep. But then the other thing that made

22:20 me start looking at it differently was

22:21 M19. Not just from running it, but from

22:24 the people in it. And so like we have

22:25 almost 600 members now and I literally

22:28 have everyone's revenues in the I can

22:31 see everyone. And so I talked to these

22:32 people who are doing things at a high

22:34 level. Not one came from real estate. Um

22:38 >> all quote unquote boring businesses.

22:40 >> Some are boring. Some just been doing it

22:41 a really long time. Whatever, right? But

22:43 dude, we have people who are

22:44 billionaires. We have people who are

22:45 hundred millionaires. And um you know,

22:47 people who are decillionaires and

22:49 >> no wholesalers.

22:50 >> There ain't not one wholesaler. Um

22:52 there's not one house slipper. They're

22:54 all doing random things.

22:55 >> Are you a deck a millionaire?

22:56 >> Yes.

22:57 >> But but they they own real estate but

23:00 they didn't

23:01 >> and then some.

23:01 >> Oh like 20 mill are but are we talking

23:04 about net worth cuz

23:05 >> Well, I thought net worth was I don't

23:07 understand

23:07 >> that. That is how you

23:08 >> Well, no because I've I've heard some

23:10 offline.

23:12 >> I'm just saying that I've heard some one

23:13 of them I think was your friend uh

23:15 lumberjack uh whatever.

23:17 >> Bring up this lumberjack guy because he

23:19 says something crazy. When I met him in

23:21 person, he's like, I'm worth $100

23:22 million or something crazy like that.

23:25 And I was like, he's not. Do you own

23:27 that much assets? That's probably his

23:29 ass.

23:29 >> Exactly. So, somebody giving you the

23:31 net.

23:31 >> Yeah. Yeah.

23:33 Basically, the equity.

23:34 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Okay.

23:35 >> But, um, anyways, you know, and I talked

23:37 to these guys and like they all own real

23:38 estate, but it's correct. It's not how

23:41 they built wealth. They they they store

23:42 wealth.

23:43 >> Yeah. They just put their money there,

23:44 right?

23:45 >> Tax benefits.

23:46 >> And so, you know, that that made me

23:48 think of it. And then I I started to

23:49 have all these conversations with these

23:51 guys and they're like starting asking me

23:53 what are you going to do with M19? Are

23:54 you taking on investors and all these

23:55 things and I was like no I mean I I

23:58 haven't taken one investor in any

23:59 business I've ever done as far as real

24:01 estate. Like I've taken investors to buy

24:03 properties but not in the actual

24:04 company.

24:05 >> You took death.

24:06 >> Yeah. And so I'm like I don't know what

24:09 do you think it's worth? Like in all

24:10 this stuff and dude the valuations that

24:12 they're willing to invest in right now

24:15 are a lot. And

24:17 >> so that would mean just for example, so

24:19 I'm not I'm making up numbers. Somebody

24:21 could value M19 at 20 million and they

24:23 want to give you 2 million for 10%.

24:24 That's what he's talking about.

24:25 >> Yeah. And is more than that. And so like

24:29 I could sell off pieces right now to

24:30 guys and they will pay into that

24:33 valuation, right? Um

24:35 and I'm just like wow that's kind of

24:37 crazy. So like what you're doing 13

24:39 months 14

24:39 >> 13 months.

24:40 >> And it's like and granted, right? That's

24:43 just paper net worth. It could be worth

24:45 zero tomorrow, like whatever, right?

24:47 >> But if I wanted to, I could take that

24:49 money right now.

24:50 >> What did you play? Yeah.

24:51 >> Right. And then I'm like, so, you know,

24:53 then you start playing with AI and all

24:55 this stuff. And, you know, we did an M&A

24:56 call in M19 literally yesterday cuz I

24:58 I'm personally interested now. And I'm

25:01 like, so what happens if we hit these

25:02 numbers and these numbers? And it's

25:03 like, well, dude, it could be a nine

25:05 figure valuation here like way sooner

25:07 than you think. And I'm just like,

25:09 >> so I'm going to get brain damaged

25:11 talking to motivated sellers. That's

25:13 again, that's the point, right?

25:14 >> Or like, I'm going to focus on this and

25:16 golf and travel the world. Worst case, I

25:18 golf and travel the world and make

25:19 money. Best case, I golf and travel the

25:21 world, make money, and build a

25:22 nine-figure business.

25:24 >> Yeah, I don't see the downside.

25:26 >> Or I talk to motivated sellers all day.

25:28 >> Yeah.

25:29 >> But do you guys think real estate is

25:31 dead? Do you think we're going into a

25:33 storm right now with interest rates and

25:36 >> all the regulations?

25:37 >> Again, you're not going to like my

25:38 answer.

25:38 >> What's your answer? I think for the next

25:40 90 days, so the rest of Q4, it's the

25:42 best buyers market I've seen. But again,

25:44 remember, I'm not a flipper. I'm not a

25:45 wholesaler. I don't need a buyer. Yeah.

25:48 I am only a buyer.

25:49 >> Yeah. Yeah.

25:49 >> So, I can write motivated sellers. I can

25:51 wait for the right offer. Even Graham

25:53 Stefen, your boy this morning

25:55 >> agreed to me. He sent out a tweet. If

25:57 you want, I'll read it to you.

25:58 >> Yeah.

25:58 >> So, no, I think this you want

26:00 >> and I'll give you my feedback.

26:01 >> Yeah. What did old Graham say?

26:02 >> Yeah. What's old Real Estate investing

26:04 say?

26:05 >> For my people. So for my people, I think

26:08 the next 90 days are the best market

26:11 I've seen in 12 years.

26:12 >> Your people in terms of buying rentals,

26:14 >> we work, we shop on the MLS. We don't do

26:16 mailers. We have no teams. We have no

26:18 overhead.

26:19 >> We have a buy box. We write 12 offers.

26:22 >> Just the Zillow shoppers.

26:24 >> Just the Zillow shoppers. So this is

26:25 what Graham said this morning.

26:26 >> Okay,

26:27 >> this might sound absolutely crazy,

26:30 >> but now might be a good time to buy a

26:32 house. Almost no competition, very

26:35 little demand. Rising inventory, 7% plus

26:39 rates, all why sellers are approaching

26:42 slow holiday season, low ball offers

26:45 might get accepted here for those who

26:47 are patient and play the numbers game.

26:50 >> Dang, Graham said that. How many deals

26:52 have has Graham done in like the last

26:54 one here?

26:54 >> We don't have a business. This is what

26:56 you don't

26:56 >> I'm talking I'm talking about rentals.

26:58 How many How many rentals?

26:59 >> 12 or 13 or something.

27:00 >> No, I'm saying how many has he bought in

27:01 the last

27:01 >> Oh, he hasn't done anything because he's

27:03 a YouTube guy. The guys that don't do

27:05 real estate are trying to preach we're

27:07 going into the best.

27:08 >> So I'll tell you about a guy I spoke to

27:09 yesterday in my community, Jacob. Okay.

27:11 >> He's he lives in Southern California. He

27:13 buy He buys in Minneapolis. So again,

27:15 it's out of state guy.

27:16 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

27:16 >> So he tracked this house for a year.

27:18 Started at 310.

27:20 >> He bought it for 252.

27:22 >> Yeah.

27:22 >> It doesn't work at 310, but you get 20%

27:24 off and you put 25% down, it works.

27:27 >> Yeah. That's the market we're in is if

27:29 you can find a motivate. And he said,

27:30 "How did he get that deal?" He said,

27:31 "The house smelled like wet dogs."

27:33 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

27:34 >> Because no owner documents going to buy

27:35 a house that smells like wet dog. So it

27:37 stayed on the market a year and he found

27:38 it. It was on the MLS. He wrote it. His

27:41 first offer was 260. He got it tons of

27:44 going on for 20 years. Go in circles.

27:46 I'm talking about holistically the

27:48 entire market.

27:49 >> I don't understand.

27:50 >> I'm not saying there's not people

27:52 finding good deals. I could find someone

27:54 that found a good deal easy. I'm talking

27:57 about is this market the best market for

27:59 real estate investors like you just

28:01 said. I believe if you are a buy and

28:03 holding, if you have to, if your exit is

28:05 a sale, this market is terrible.

28:07 Wholesalers, flippers, if you're a home

28:09 seller, period, it's one of the worst

28:11 markets ever. But if you can buy and

28:13 hold and be patient and wait three,

28:16 five, seven, eight years, this is going

28:18 to be the easiest market for you in the

28:20 last 12 years. You don't want to compete

28:21 with us in 2021.

28:23 >> Yeah.

28:24 >> Now it's the market. If you're an FHA

28:25 buyer, Yeah. and the same thing,

28:27 >> three and a half% down,

28:29 >> you're gonna have better luck today than

28:30 you did in 2021 when nobody was looking

28:33 at your offer because it said FHA or VA.

28:36 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. And we've had this

28:37 already discussion. I don't want to go

28:38 through it again. But if we look at

28:40 >> Yeah.

28:40 >> Was it better to buy a house in 2016 or

28:43 2026?

28:44 >> Do you have a time machine?

28:46 >> No. But I'm But you're saying that's the

28:48 best because you just said it's the best

28:49 market in the last 10 years.

28:51 >> It is. If you are looking at that

28:53 criteria, if you want to just look at

28:54 the price point, I mean, who knows what

28:56 the market do you remember what it was

28:56 doing? How old were you in 2016?

28:59 >> 2016, 10 years ago, I was 25.

29:01 >> All right. Yeah. What were you doing at

29:03 How much were you making at 25?

29:04 >> I made like 100 grand,

29:05 >> right? Could you buy?

29:06 >> I bought my first house. Yeah, I bought

29:07 my first house in 2016.

29:08 >> Okay.

29:09 >> Yeah.

29:10 >> But either way, I my prediction is like,

29:13 bro, it's going to get worse for

29:15 everyone.

29:15 >> You're talking the macro.

29:17 >> It's only That's what I'm talking about.

29:18 macro. I'm not talking about can you

29:20 find someone that found a good deal.

29:21 >> My

29:21 >> But again, so part of the thing I talked

29:23 about in the video too was that

29:26 >> if it was if my business was easy to

29:28 fix, I would have just fixed it and kept

29:29 it going and it's fine.

29:32 >> But the reason it's not easy to fix is

29:33 because the macro environment is so

29:35 terrible.

29:35 >> Yes.

29:36 >> And it's going to keep getting worse.

29:37 >> Yes.

29:38 >> And you had And let's be clear, one of

29:40 the reasons that I always say that my

29:41 folks are going to like this market is

29:42 we have zero overhead.

29:44 >> Yeah. We have income coming from

29:45 somewhere else.

29:46 >> Yeah.

29:46 >> Right. So we can we can take the shot

29:48 and if it doesn't work it does we we

29:49 don't have to do a deal.

29:50 >> Yeah. Me and Brian's folks are

29:52 >> overhead. You have to do a deal.

29:53 >> Yeah. Well and me and Brian's folks are

29:55 active operators, right?

29:56 >> Active operators and passive income like

29:59 real estate investors.

30:00 >> I mean for the active operators um this

30:03 will be

30:04 >> this is a hard season.

30:05 >> Yeah. In my opinion it's worse. It's

30:07 about to be worse than 2022.

30:09 >> Um I think it's

30:12 >> it's I mean there's less transactions.

30:14 Uh rates ain't coming down. No, they're

30:16 going higher.

30:17 >> Um,

30:18 >> yeah,

30:18 >> it's

30:20 man, I I just so for me too, I also talk

30:22 to so many other investors and so I've

30:24 got a pulse. I'm like, what's going on?

30:26 >> And so my

30:28 >> people losing just as bad as 21 and

30:30 >> Yeah. Like my thing is, and I always say

30:32 this to the team, I go, "Look, if we're

30:34 struggling, what does that mean for

30:36 everyone else? We're just the only ones

30:38 that might talk about it, right?

30:40 Everyone else just acts like

30:41 everything's good."

30:43 >> I'm like, "Bro, this is hard. If I think

30:45 it's hard

30:46 >> and things usually come pretty easy for

30:48 me,

30:49 >> I can't imagine how hard it is for

30:50 everyone else. And then I'll get, you

30:52 know, people, well, freak, we're killing

30:53 it. And it's like, great, that's great.

30:55 You're killing it.

30:55 >> You got the one little market.

30:56 >> Yeah. Yeah. But like I I just know macro

30:59 objectively. It's hard. Yeah.

31:01 >> Agreed.

31:01 >> Yeah.

31:02 >> Yeah. I mean, if you want to put numbers

31:03 on it, so we were on track to do roughly

31:05 four million transactions existing and

31:06 not new home sales. We'll probably be at

31:08 38. I think it was the last video, maybe

31:10 the one before that, you said we were

31:11 going to go lower, and I thought you

31:12 were wrong. You're going to be right.

31:14 Zub, I'm gonna be right again. Holy

31:17 crap. I can't take it.

31:18 >> This is too much.

31:19 >> At least finally you's gonna go to the

31:22 bathroom real quick.

31:22 >> Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It's

31:23 >> too excited. Me and your cell phone.

31:26 >> Yeah.

31:26 >> No, cuz it's been a year of like

31:28 consistently. I'm like, "This is going

31:29 to happen." And then Zuber's like, "No,

31:31 you're saw 8% mortgage rates coming."

31:33 >> Yes, bro. I feel like it's so obvious

31:37 thinking in 27 or it's gonna happen.

31:39 >> Well, hold on. There's news that he's

31:41 going to raise interest rates two more

31:42 times this year, right?

31:44 >> Oh, you're talking about the Fed now.

31:45 >> Yeah. Yeah. So, I think I think it'll be

31:46 one, but yeah, there's rumors.

31:47 >> There's rumors that the Fed is going to

31:50 increase interest rates two more times

31:53 this year when they're already really

31:55 high, but we're going into the best

31:58 market for real estate investors. No,

32:00 it's actually going to get worse. It's

32:02 actually going to get harder.

32:04 >> How do you define a good market? A good

32:06 market, I would define it as

32:07 transactions are up.

32:09 >> Well, there you go. So, that's where we

32:11 disagree.

32:12 >> And there's opportunity to make money.

32:15 If interest rates continue to climb and

32:19 you're buying rental properties and

32:23 rents are coming down, then there's even

32:26 >> rents coming down.

32:27 >> Yeah, in some markets, yeah, 100%. It's

32:29 harder to rent houses now um than I

32:32 would say last year.

32:33 >> Yeah. But what is likely going to happen

32:35 again won't be everywhere. But as prices

32:37 go up or stay flat and interest rates go

32:39 up, your rentals will become more solid

32:40 because people can't afford to buy.

32:42 >> Yeah.

32:42 >> People already can't afford to buy.

32:43 >> Yeah. It's just going to get worse.

32:45 >> But a lot of people can't afford to rent

32:46 either.

32:46 >> Yeah. No, people just can't afford

32:47 anything.

32:48 >> Yeah.

32:48 >> So, I I want to bring this up, too. So,

32:50 I had um

32:52 >> I I've heard this argument before. I'll

32:54 bring up a couple of random arguments

32:55 I've heard. Sure.

32:56 >> So, uh somebody said, "Well, you know,

32:59 7%'s the interest rates that have always

33:01 happened." I heard that all the time.

33:02 I'm like, "Yeah,

33:04 >> not at all-time highs." Yeah. And and

33:06 also too, like I saw a stat the other

33:08 day of like wages versus affordability.

33:10 This is the largest ever in history.

33:12 >> It's never been this bad.

33:14 >> Y

33:14 >> and essentially it's like I look at the

33:16 the American dream of owning a home and

33:17 I'm like it ain't the dream no more. Gen

33:19 Z don't give a crap that they they don't

33:21 believe they can own a home.

33:22 >> No, they just gamble.

33:23 >> Yeah. They would rather gamble and you

33:25 know, whatever, right? And rent

33:26 everything. And I would too if I if I

33:30 looked at, man, owning a home's 3,500 a

33:32 month or I can rent the same home for

33:33 2,000 in major markets like Las Vegas,

33:36 why would I want to own it?

33:37 >> What would you do with I'm curious, what

33:38 would you do with the extra 1,500

33:40 >> gamble?

33:40 >> I throw it in stocks.

33:42 >> Well, I mean, if I wasn't going to start

33:44 a business, but like if I wanted to

33:45 invest,

33:46 >> I'm just going to throw it in the stock

33:47 market. But if I wanted to bet on

33:49 myself, almost use that money to fund a

33:51 business.

33:52 >> Yeah, that's where I thought you would

33:52 go.

33:53 >> Yeah. Yeah. But yeah, typical Gen Z guy.

33:55 or you just throw it in uh DraftKings,

33:57 it

33:58 >> Exactly. Price pick. Sorry. Sponsor.

34:00 >> Yeah. [laughter]

34:01 >> Yeah. But yeah, I think there's that

34:03 aspect of it. I think um I already have

34:06 had multiple people reach out. So, ever

34:07 since I dropped that video, tons of

34:10 people reaching out um friends and

34:12 people and they're like, "Bro, I've been

34:13 thinking about leaving too. I've been

34:14 thinking about this." Like big people.

34:16 >> Yeah.

34:17 >> Um I want to talk about

34:18 >> But but the problem is with everyone

34:20 else, and this is the key, and I think

34:22 we were laughing about it because I

34:23 didn't see all the reactions. I'm like,

34:24 I don't even want to watch these.

34:25 >> But, uh,

34:26 >> I watched them all.

34:27 >> Davilla watches them all. They They get

34:29 fired up more than me.

34:29 >> A couple of dozen. I don't know if it's

34:30 all of them.

34:31 >> They're all terrible. I haven't seen one

34:32 yet.

34:32 >> I thought there was one that was pretty

34:33 good.

34:34 >> From who?

34:34 >> Uh, I'll look it up offline.

34:36 >> Yeah. Well, I could summarize them all.

34:38 >> They're like, this is me summarizing a

34:41 10-minute video into two sentences.

34:42 >> Okay.

34:43 >> Ryan quit real estate, but I'm going to

34:45 keep doing real estate. That's it.

34:47 That's lit. That's pretty much it.

34:48 That's pretty much You could watch their

34:50 videos, but they're like, "Yeah, Ryan

34:52 quit." And you know,

34:53 >> you know what? I think they're tough,

34:54 but I'm going to keep going.

34:55 >> Yeah. Again, this is why Ryan was a

34:57 unicorn is cuz he had that he had the

34:59 option.

34:59 >> Yeah.

35:00 >> Right. No, but some of these guys don't

35:02 have options. They got to make it work.

35:04 >> How they feed their family.

35:05 >> Yeah. Yeah. You have no choice.

35:06 >> Yeah. And that's back to your is it 2022

35:08 when you lost a million bucks? You

35:10 didn't have a choice.

35:10 >> No, I had no choice.

35:11 >> You made it work.

35:12 >> Yeah.

35:12 >> Yeah. That is funny. I had um this guy I

35:14 was talking to online uh you know he's

35:17 like always critical of guys and he's

35:19 like honestly bro like if I was making a

35:21 million bucks playing golf I' I'd

35:22 freaking do it too. He's like I'd never

35:24 touch another house in my life.

35:25 >> Actually I think that's the one I

35:26 replied to one of the guys that said

35:27 that

35:27 >> and I was like

35:28 >> dude who was it?

35:30 >> Uh his name's uh Aaron.

35:33 >> Okay.

35:33 >> Yeah. Yeah. Um but anyway we were

35:35 talking in the DMs and stuff too. He's

35:36 like I don't even like golf but I would

35:37 do that. [laughter]

35:38 >> Be the same guy.

35:40 >> And I was like but I do like golf.

35:41 >> Yeah. I win.

35:43 >> Um, so yeah, anyways, like yeah, it's

35:45 all opportunity cost and that's what I

35:47 say in the video, too. It's like if you

35:48 have better opportunities, why would you

35:50 fight a falling knife essentially and

35:53 and headwinds against

35:55 >> like again, right, let's go back to

35:56 earlier. You said you were spending an

35:57 hour a week.

35:59 >> Yeah.

35:59 >> And you were making roughly 10%.

36:01 >> Yeah.

36:01 >> Last couple of quarters have been rough.

36:03 Break even, maybe a little loss. You

36:05 look at the situation, you go from 1

36:06 hour to 20 hours.

36:08 >> Yeah.

36:08 >> And that takes away from all these other

36:10 things. M19, dad build, pan partners,

36:12 all the others.

36:13 >> It's like it's an easy decision.

36:15 >> Yeah,

36:15 >> it was an easy decision.

36:17 >> Yeah.

36:17 >> The only part that made it not easy was

36:20 I I'll explain the only reason for not

36:22 this was the only one I could figure out

36:24 not to quit.

36:24 >> Okay. was

36:27 I spent my whole well I don't say my

36:30 whole life but the last decade plus

36:32 building credibility and reputation in

36:34 that space and then you build an online

36:36 brand around this and you can I could

36:39 still just keep it going and coaching

36:41 >> sure

36:41 >> and keeping that going and maybe the

36:43 coaching income offsets that not being

36:45 worth it and whatever else right but you

36:48 know the moment you decide hey I'm out

36:51 you're like kind of throwing away eight

36:53 years of work on your brand. Like

36:56 imagine you've been doing your YouTube

36:58 videos for a decade

36:59 >> and you're like, I actually don't like

37:01 Reynolds anymore.

37:02 >> Yeah.

37:02 >> Yeah.

37:02 >> Right.

37:03 >> It'd be like, what?

37:04 >> And everyone following you is like,

37:06 what? And you know, now anything you

37:09 ever want to do in the future is kind of

37:11 like already tainted at that point

37:14 >> because even if you're like, you know

37:15 what, I actually believe in Reynolds

37:16 again. They're like, bro, you're the guy

37:17 who

37:18 >> you're the guy that quit.

37:19 >> Yeah. So for me, I was like, if I'm

37:21 going to do this, then it's like kind of

37:22 like a no going back decision.

37:25 >> And that's why I was even contemplating

37:27 in my mind just not doing it, but not

37:29 saying anything. And so people were

37:31 like, "Oh, this guy, you know, what a

37:33 genius."

37:33 >> I like the fact that you had the balls

37:34 to say it. That meant you were

37:35 committed.

37:36 >> Yeah. And people were like, "What a

37:37 genius marketing strategy. Everyone's

37:38 talking about him." Well, one, I didn't

37:40 know it was going to go that viral. Um,

37:42 but two, it wasn't even about like we

37:44 haven't sold any more M19 than usual.

37:46 It's not like,

37:47 >> yeah,

37:47 >> we got all this extra crap out of it. I

37:49 was just like, honestly,

37:51 >> I just always share the wins, the

37:52 losses, and whatever, and so here's why.

37:55 And um I don't know, maybe someone will

37:57 take some from it. Like I said, I've had

37:59 multiple people and even in different

38:01 industries like, dude, honestly, I'm

38:02 getting so burnt out by X and I've been

38:06 thinking about moving, but I'm like so

38:07 my identity is in this thing. It's not

38:10 even real estate for them.

38:10 >> Yeah. Yeah. You're saying

38:12 >> they're like, man, how did like how do

38:14 you move on? And one thing I Here's one

38:16 thing I will say because I've gone

38:17 through identity shifts before. Um,

38:21 [clears throat]

38:21 >> you know, baseball was the first time I

38:22 ever had to give up my professional

38:24 identity.

38:25 >> Let's quit.

38:25 >> Let's quit. Yep. Retire is what we use.

38:28 >> Yeah.

38:29 >> Retire is better. Retire is better.

38:30 Yeah.

38:30 >> Actually, one one of my uh Shane Shane

38:33 Sigby text me. He goes, "Congrats. I saw

38:35 your video. Super classy. Congrats on

38:36 retiring from house." That's what he

38:38 said. [laughter]

38:39 I was like, "Dude, yeah. Yeah, that's

38:41 what I thought. I retired.

38:43 >> [laughter]

38:43 >> I'm going the I'll go into the Hall of

38:44 Fame.

38:45 >> Yeah. Yeah.

38:46 >> So, no. Um but I you know I quit

38:49 baseball retired and I just remember

38:52 >> like most guys who stop sports it's it's

38:55 so hard because they have no clue what

38:57 they're going to do next. Right. But for

38:59 me, I was already doing real estate and

39:00 so it was very easy. I was like, "Yeah,

39:02 dude. I'm already

39:02 >> Yeah. So So I think that's important,

39:04 right? So you were playing um

39:06 >> minor league baseball while I was

39:07 already doing it."

39:08 >> Yeah. So, I was already super successful

39:11 at real estate while I was playing and I

39:12 was like, "Bro, this next thing is so

39:14 much better."

39:15 >> And that was the same thing with couch

39:16 flipping, too. Like, I was flipping

39:18 couches and I started doing real estate.

39:20 >> When you started doing the real estate

39:21 and you were still in minor league ball.

39:23 >> Yeah.

39:23 >> When you started that, was that more

39:25 because baseball was a six-month

39:26 commitment and you needed something else

39:28 to do?

39:28 >> Exactly.

39:29 >> Okay.

39:30 >> It was never about I want to be a real

39:31 estate guy. I just wanted to fund my

39:32 life for baseball.

39:33 >> Yeah. I just want to make sure I

39:35 understand. So, at the time you were

39:36 doing that, it was creating cash cuz

39:37 minor leagues don't pay anything.

39:38 >> Yep.

39:39 >> Right. And you, I'm guessing, still

39:41 thought you would end up in the major

39:42 leagues.

39:44 >> I mean, that was the goal for the first

39:45 bunch of years, but towards the last

39:46 years, I was just playing for fun.

39:48 >> Okay. But yeah, it's but it's like the

39:50 big dream is the million-dollar contract

39:51 with him in major leagues. I'm doing

39:53 this to feed my family. I'm a married

39:55 man.

39:55 >> Exactly.

39:57 >> But, you know, by that last year, I'm

39:58 like 27, 28 years old, and so I'm not

40:00 naive. And I know I'm like, dude, I'm

40:02 not making to the bigs, so I'm just

40:03 going to milk this and I'm making enough

40:05 money in real estate.

40:06 >> Oh, good.

40:06 >> So, anyways, yeah, I I go and transition

40:09 into real estate. And it was easy

40:11 because I already was doing the next

40:13 running.

40:14 >> Yeah. And so, I think like even with M19

40:16 and stuff, quitting real estate's easy

40:19 because I'm just like, bro, I'm already

40:20 doing

40:21 >> it. I already am doing the next thing.

40:22 It's already proven to be 10 times

40:24 better.

40:25 >> It's not even like to me a big deal.

40:28 It's what it's it's a much bigger deal

40:29 to everyone else apparently. But like

40:32 it's really like I was just like, "All

40:33 right, whatever." Like I woke up the

40:34 next day and I was like, "All right."

40:36 Like he was I was like, "All right, so

40:38 let's train him."

40:38 >> Yeah.

40:39 >> It was already on to the next thing.

40:41 >> So I wanted to talk about the people

40:42 because I don't know that everybody I

40:43 think everybody thinks or maybe they

40:44 don't

40:45 >> like all these people are going to be

40:46 let go. You're firing. You're not doing

40:47 any of that. You're you're converting

40:49 them.

40:49 >> No. And I do want to say for everyone

40:51 listening um and I did this on our

40:53 Monday call, but you know to honor

40:54 everybody that's ever worked at Home Run

40:56 Offer, you know, we've had so many

40:58 people throughout the years that um have

41:00 led the company and been a part of the

41:02 company, you know, uh just even by name

41:06 like guys like uh Monty who is my CEO

41:08 for many years, Sean Bob who was as

41:10 well, Michael Stevenson, you know, and

41:13 then current people like Michael Smith

41:14 who's, you know, been with me for eight

41:16 years and Kayla and Isaac. Um, you know,

41:19 we've had other people like Chuck Bob,

41:22 random names, Inz, and you know, Ray

41:24 Rodriguez, who's running his own thing

41:26 now. He's about to net a million bucks,

41:28 his first or his first time ever, you

41:30 know, and so

41:31 >> Liliana,

41:32 >> Liliana,

41:33 >> Nilsa,

41:33 >> Nilsa. Yep. Doing TC for so long. And

41:37 >> tons of people just over the years um

41:40 that lit and I said this on our Monday

41:42 call. go. If they don't do what they do

41:45 and allow me to be able to not be so

41:48 involved,

41:49 >> all the other stuff that you guys are

41:50 currently a part of, all you M19 people,

41:52 all you this people, you don't exist.

41:54 You don't even have a Well, they exist.

41:56 >> You don't have a career here unless all

41:59 of these people did what they did. And

42:00 so, I'm just grateful for all of them

42:02 through the good times, the bad times,

42:04 the easy times, the hard times. Um but

42:08 yeah, you know, so all of those uh sales

42:10 people and stuff, they moved over to new

42:12 roles and it's great.

42:13 >> Yeah. So the team is the team still.

42:16 >> It's not like you came in and whacked 50

42:17 heads and bingo bango, the bottom line

42:19 looks better.

42:19 >> Well, no. And it got me thinking too

42:21 about stewardship, you know, just on

42:24 from a faith perspective. Stewardship is

42:25 just what do you do with your resources,

42:27 your time, money, energy, everything.

42:29 And I said, well, part of what I steward

42:31 are my employees.

42:33 >> Absolutely. And so I got to put them in

42:35 the best position for their skills,

42:37 their time, their family, their energy.

42:39 And I really felt like, dude, we're

42:41 about to go into Q4. Like initially in

42:44 my mind, I was like, I'm going to give

42:45 it till the end of the year to see what

42:47 happens. But I already know Q4 is going

42:48 to suck. It just always sucks.

42:50 >> Yeah.

42:50 >> And so even in good times, it's like not

42:52 great.

42:53 >> And so I'm like, dude, why why spend 90

42:56 day? Like, let's just do it now. Get

42:58 them in positions to succeed

43:00 >> and let them set up for next year.

43:01 They'll be set up for next year and

43:02 they'll have a better end to this year

43:04 and it's already playing out that way.

43:06 >> Yeah.

43:07 >> You guys know I love the game of golf

43:09 and that is why I started M19. It is a

43:11 golf mastermind for entrepreneurs who

43:13 are doing over seven figures in their

43:15 business and who want to go on bucket

43:16 list golf trips together. We already

43:18 have hundreds of members all across the

43:20 country. And we've been to some of the

43:22 best courses in the world. Places like

43:23 Pebble Beach, Pinehurst, Bandon Dunes,

43:26 and many others. The course is the best

43:27 place to do deals, make great

43:29 relationships, and have fun. So, go to

43:31 mastermind 19.com today.

43:32 >> So, I want to talk about the dashboard.

43:34 I don't know if your team could insert

43:35 the dashboard that you put on IG. I

43:36 think we should put that.

43:37 >> Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Screenshot. Yeah.

43:38 >> Because again, I think I don't I think

43:40 people hear you're quitting or quit and

43:42 they don't really understand just how

43:43 easy a decision it was. So, as I

43:45 remember the chart, it starts up here

43:47 and goes down and the first leg is like

43:49 500 grand or 800 grand

43:52 >> and then you're doing several. It's

43:53 basically a $1.2 million in like a

43:56 30-day window.

43:57 >> Yeah.

43:57 >> Yeah.

43:58 >> Hello. Is anybody hear that number?

44:00 Like, yeah. What are you doing? I mean,

44:02 >> yeah.

44:02 >> Easy decision.

44:03 >> Yeah. And I just, it's funny because I

44:05 made first I made the video on Saturday

44:08 and it got reacted to like hundreds of

44:10 times. And then uh people were talking

44:13 crap and some people were like, "Oh,

44:14 freaking that business ain't doing that

44:16 good." And blah blah blah.

44:18 >> He can't hit 300.

44:19 >> Yeah. Like no way. And then I was just

44:20 like,

44:21 >> "Yeah,

44:22 >> okay. What?" I was like,

44:23 >> seats.

44:24 >> Yeah.

44:24 >> Him and I were at the pool, you know,

44:25 doing it. We were doing their baby

44:27 shower. Um or not baby shower, gender

44:30 reveal.

44:30 >> Gender reveal.

44:31 >> Congratulations to gang of gang.

44:32 >> Yeah. And I was just like, "Dude, I got

44:34 a really good idea. I'm just going to

44:36 like flex on them and it'll be pretty

44:39 funny." And so whatever

44:41 >> convert half the people. I mean, at that

44:42 point, it had to be obvious.

44:44 >> Yeah. And I was just like, you know,

44:45 here's the deal. And and I also had this

44:48 idea. I wanted to share the origin of

44:49 M19 anyways because it isn't a 13-month

44:52 business. It actually

44:53 >> Right. That was a good point.

44:54 >> is like a fiveyear business.

44:55 >> Yeah. 2500 bucks comes.

44:57 >> Yeah. And I showed all the screenshots

44:59 of its history. Like in 2021, I had the

45:01 idea. I was like, "Hey, would anyone

45:02 want to golf with me?" And it evolved

45:05 into what it is today. But yeah, I just

45:07 showed the screenshot. I go, "This is

45:09 our 13th month. We just hit over a

45:10 million bucks. The month before we hit 8

45:12 something." Um, and if you see that big

45:14 spike right there, that's all renewals.

45:16 That's our first renewal. And the churn

45:18 was extremely low, meaning everyone

45:20 loves it.

45:21 >> And um, that's going to happen every

45:23 year forever.

45:24 >> Yeah. just it starts

45:25 >> and it's going to compound.

45:26 >> Correct.

45:27 >> And so at some point in hopefully, you

45:30 know, one day, I don't want to jinx it,

45:32 but ideally there'll be a million

45:33 dollars a month in just renewals

45:36 >> probably.

45:36 >> Not even just, you know, new business

45:39 and everything else. And I'm just like,

45:40 that's kind of crazy to think about that

45:42 you could build a business where you get

45:44 a check for a million dollars a month

45:47 pretty much to the bottom line.

45:48 >> Yeah. Big margin.

45:50 >> So, um, yeah, I'm just like

45:52 >> brain damage, right? very little, maybe

45:55 some coordination and some

45:56 >> I would even if I had complete brain

45:59 damage in that business, if I talked to

46:00 motivated sellers

46:02 >> and did bull crap all day, I would still

46:04 I'd be like all in once

46:05 >> I'm in. Okay.

46:06 >> Yeah. Whatever. For that financial

46:07 reward, I would do that.

46:08 >> Yeah. Okay. Fair enough.

46:09 >> But the fact that Yeah. I don't have to

46:10 do any of that either is like

46:12 >> And you like it. I mean, that's the

46:13 other You never loved real estate.

46:15 >> No, I never did. No.

46:16 >> But you love you love sports and golf is

46:18 your thing.

46:18 >> Yeah. And I love the benefits of real

46:20 estate.

46:21 >> Correct. I don't love the the whatever

46:25 you would call it the doing, right?

46:27 >> I've never I've never fixed the toilet.

46:29 I've never g like I just don't want to

46:32 do any of it.

46:32 >> Yeah.

46:32 >> But I love the reward of it. And but

46:34 this I actually genuinely love doing.

46:36 >> That's like in baseball. I played

46:37 baseball for 1,200 bucks a month for

46:39 eight years.

46:40 >> Yeah. You only do that for love,

46:41 nothing.

46:41 >> You do it because you love it.

46:42 >> Yeah.

46:43 >> Yeah.

46:44 >> Yeah.

46:44 >> So Brian, what what does this mean for

46:45 you? What are you doing? You going to

46:46 quit and become a Christian podcaster?

46:49 >> Uh no. I mean, my real estate crushed

46:51 this year, honestly. So, like,

46:52 >> congratulations.

46:53 >> Yeah, we we crushed it even if notice.

46:56 So, so we So, how big's the team?

46:57 >> Uh, so there's me, uh, COO, we have one,

47:02 two,

47:05 three, four, four acquisition people and

47:08 two disposition people.

47:09 >> So, you've got seven people on payroll,

47:11 >> not even yourself.

47:13 >> They're they're all commission only.

47:15 >> Oh, commission only. Okay.

47:16 >> Yeah. Yeah.

47:16 >> So, Okay, that's good.

47:17 >> Yeah. So that's another thing like I've

47:19 heard you say like oh the the payroll

47:20 and all these things like it's not that

47:22 scary like to have

47:23 >> unless you run big marketing like I do.

47:25 >> Exactly. Yeah. We don't run big

47:26 marketing like himers.

47:28 >> Yeah. We don't do all that. So

47:30 >> Ryan Brian is like the opposite of me.

47:33 He's like very

47:34 >> You guys are more alike than you know.

47:36 >> Yeah. Know why we rip on each other.

47:37 >> I know.

47:38 >> It's like two brothers that are like

47:40 >> he's always I'm like you guys are saying

47:41 the same brother like much older

47:44 brother. much older.

47:45 >> Like two generations older. But no, like

47:48 I'm like I'm very frugal.

47:50 >> Super frugal. Conservative

47:52 >> my rentals this year. They still don't

47:53 cash flow. [laughter]

47:56 >> Well, he'd have a capital expenditure

47:57 budget.

47:58 >> Well, you need 20 years to grow. Like

48:00 they need 20 years.

48:01 >> I still have one dud that I'm like

48:03 >> that is Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I'm still

48:05 holding on to that. I just can't.

48:08 >> Yeah. But um

48:09 >> yeah, we crush it in real estate. I'm

48:12 going to buy another business. So, I'm

48:14 looking to buy another business. I put

48:16 it out there.

48:16 >> Is it going to uh be around real estate

48:18 or something?

48:18 >> I want it to be around home services

48:20 because I have such a big network and

48:22 following around

48:24 >> in Vegas or Southern California.

48:25 >> You want you want to hear something so

48:27 funny about Brian. So,

48:28 >> yes.

48:29 >> Uh the more embarrassing the better.

48:31 [laughter]

48:32 >> Actually, this is kind of funny to think

48:33 about. So, Brian started out as my first

48:35 student back in 2018. Obviously, he's

48:37 crushed it. He still crushes it. He's

48:38 he's lasted longer than me. And yeah,

48:41 you quit already.

48:42 >> Yeah. Yeah. So, so he's still going, but

48:44 uh you know, then we became partners at

48:46 Wealthy Investor and so he took over the

48:49 rookie program which you know has lasted

48:51 this whole time

48:52 >> and um

48:53 >> good things.

48:54 >> Yeah. And he uh

48:56 >> you know after doing being partners for

48:58 like three plus years, he's like hey I

49:00 want to like just focus back on real

49:02 estate. And so he gave all his equity

49:04 back and obviously still buddies and

49:05 stuff and uh you know built his own

49:08 business. And then

49:10 uh this year I was like man I really

49:11 like I'm getting burned out with social

49:13 media. You want to like I want to do

49:15 different stuff. You want to co-host

49:16 with me? And so he he was the co-host

49:18 for six months for no pay, just doing it

49:20 for fun. And um then I said, "Hey dude,

49:24 I want to partner with you on the

49:25 podcast and start monetizing it better

49:28 and you know all this stuff." And so

49:29 he's like, "Okay." And so now we're

49:32 partners on the podcast and I pay him a

49:34 percentage of gross revenue. So it's not

49:37 even anything to do with net, right? So

49:39 you would think like for a normal person

49:40 it's like well then let's just

49:42 >> do as much as we can, right? And so I'm

49:44 like hey I want to spend more on ads and

49:45 you know all this other stuff. And he's

49:47 like oh dude are you sure? Because then

49:49 with I'm like bro you get paid just like

49:51 the growth.

49:52 >> Yeah. It don't even matter. Like, but

49:54 his mind is just always so like

49:57 >> the net and the penny pinching and all

49:59 this stuff and it's great, but I'm like,

50:00 bro, you're not even on net. Just

50:02 >> slang. Yeah. Like it doesn't even

50:04 matter.

50:05 >> And it's like um our our minds just work

50:08 very different.

50:09 >> Yeah. I think cuz I grew up like with I

50:12 remember your financial hardship. So,

50:14 I'm used to thinking about like

50:16 >> every penny like how do we make the most

50:18 out of every penny? even like this penny

50:20 go twice as

50:21 >> we were talking about I shouldn't I'm

50:23 not going to say the exact thing but we

50:25 both were paying for a software

50:27 >> and he was paying how much were you

50:29 paying a year

50:30 >> 50k

50:31 >> 50k a year I'm paying like a tenth of

50:35 that but it's just being more

50:37 resourceful and figuring out ways to

50:40 maximize every dollar

50:42 >> because yeah like cuz I think I could

50:44 retire with if I could invest $2 million

50:48 >> I could retire

50:50 like I reverse engineered.

50:52 >> So, so, okay. So, what does $2 million

50:53 net you? Is that is it 100K? Is it 200K?

50:56 >> Uh, a year it would be like it would be

50:58 about a quarter of a million dollars a

51:00 year I would net.

51:00 >> So, you need 12.5% on your money. That's

51:03 what

51:03 >> you're just lending hard money at that

51:04 point.

51:05 >> Yeah.

51:05 >> All that's all I could think of at 12

51:06 and a half.

51:07 >> Yeah, cuz like my current cuz my current

51:09 rental portfolio I owe about5

51:13 total.

51:14 >> Okay. If I pay off about 2 million of

51:16 that, I'm done. Like I could literally

51:18 just be completely okay done with real

51:20 estate. So I've been like

51:22 >> every time I get a certain amount more I

51:24 start chopping it down and I've been

51:26 chopping it down this year. But um

51:28 >> Okay.

51:28 >> That's just the way my brain works. I

51:30 want to get the most with the least.

51:32 >> Yeah. Exactly. Where he wants to just go

51:34 big. He wants to go for 100 million or

51:37 whatever he needs. I need two million.

51:39 >> Well, I don't need it.

51:41 >> Yeah. But you want it. Well, I just

51:44 >> to me I just I'm like I got to just

51:46 maximize the best of my ability.

51:48 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

51:49 >> Like it's not even about

51:51 >> I don't need

51:51 >> Yeah. When was the last time you thought

51:52 about money? I don't think

51:53 >> No, I don't like it doesn't matter. It's

51:55 just I want to be the best that I can be

51:57 >> at your thing. Whatever your Yeah.

51:59 >> I just want to maxim like the way

52:01 [clears throat] I look at it is I work

52:02 30 hours a week in the office. I want to

52:05 just make the most amount of money

52:06 possible during the 30 hours. What's

52:08 that going to be? What activities am I

52:10 going to do to maximize that? That's how

52:12 I look at it

52:13 >> in given these bit. So again, M19, Dad

52:16 Built, Pona Partners, the others,

52:18 Christian, uh,

52:19 >> tax, tailor, tax, um, you know, the pod.

52:22 >> Yeah.

52:23 >> Still 30 hours.

52:24 >> Yeah.

52:24 >> Well, that's why real estate doesn't

52:26 make sense because you don't you don't

52:27 have a base structure.

52:28 >> Yeah. My thing is I've always been 30

52:30 hours. I mean, when I wrote the wealthy

52:31 way and everything else, if nothing has

52:32 changed now, the activities changed, but

52:34 like

52:35 >> changed and would have required more

52:36 hours, which would have meant you would

52:38 have had to cut. Yeah, but like I've

52:40 been able to always hire good people and

52:42 figure it out and whatever and then move

52:44 and pivot when things get hard.

52:46 >> Yeah.

52:47 >> But yeah, I mean one thing I will say

52:48 and this was an interesting point of

52:50 criticism that I was reflecting on. Uh a

52:54 lot of people were well the haters

52:56 anyways. It was like there was three

52:58 groups of people that I saw. There was

53:00 people who were fans and they're like

53:02 bro freak this is like good for him.

53:04 It's awesome, right? Then there was like

53:06 a middle group who's like I'm not a fan

53:08 but like I get it like this market sucks

53:11 and I could see why he would do that

53:13 whatever. Right? And then there's haters

53:14 that are like this guy just jumps from

53:15 thing to thing. First it was yeah

53:18 >> Amazon and it's NFTTS and it's this crap

53:20 and that crap. And I was really

53:22 reflecting on it and I was like you know

53:25 that's fair like

53:28 >> no I was just like yeah I mean I I guess

53:30 you could say that. Um because I have

53:32 jumped from a lot of things and I was

53:34 like I don't apologize for jumping to

53:37 things because I'm going to keep doing

53:39 lots of things. So it's like why? Like

53:40 it just is who I am at this point.

53:43 >> Um

53:44 >> nuh-uh but I'm actually launching this

53:46 new thing.

53:46 >> Yeah. Yeah. [laughter] And I'm just like

53:48 that's fair. But then I was just like

53:50 but you know you also got to be fair and

53:53 be like but that that new thing is a

53:54 really good idea. I'm like that's like

53:56 like you got to be fair if you're gonna

53:57 be fair but if you're a hater then you

53:58 know it is what it is. Yeah. But um it

54:01 did get me thinking because I was like,

54:03 man, I'm reflecting because I I was

54:04 reflecting on my whole career the last

54:07 decade. I'm just like, man,

54:09 you know, what have I learned from all

54:11 this? Where have I screwed up? What did

54:12 I do well? Like what could I, you know,

54:14 the next decade do, you know, and what

54:16 can I impart to anyone listening here?

54:19 And what I discovered was as I thought

54:21 through it is like I basically had an

54:24 18month stretch where I made a lot of

54:26 really bad decisions. Um,

54:29 you know, probably from like the middle

54:30 of 2021 to the beginning of 2023,

54:35 you know, basically I got into the four

54:37 hardest things I've ever had to go

54:38 through. Um, by just like not being

54:42 smart and taking my eye off the ball,

54:44 you know, like mil 21, I get into the

54:46 Amazon thing because I'm just like, it's

54:47 a good opportunity and I was making

54:49 money doing it and then it just ended up

54:50 being the biggest nightmare ever. Then,

54:53 um, you know, middle of 2022 and leading

54:56 up to it, I don't notice that the market

54:58 is changing and I'm not paying attention

55:00 to my team. And so, we're still buying

55:02 all these houses. And then, guess what?

55:04 We're sitting on a bunch of houses that

55:06 are a falling knife with the market, you

55:08 know, rates doubling and all that. And

55:10 so, um, that ended up burning me big

55:13 time. And then, you know, getting in the

55:15 NFTs and, you know, for me anyways, I

55:18 thought we did a great job, but whatever

55:20 the perception is, whatever it is. And

55:22 you know, there's tons of reputational

55:23 harm from that and you know, all that

55:26 stuff. And then I get into syndications

55:28 at the end of 21, which is literally the

55:30 worst time you could have done

55:32 syndications because guess what?

55:33 Everyone says, "Well, why aren't you

55:35 buying rentals? Why aren't you why are

55:36 you only flipping? Why you could raise

55:38 money and and all the rich people do big

55:40 deals?" And so, you know, all of them

55:42 basically were from the standpoint of if

55:44 you can do it, why wouldn't you do it?

55:46 And the truth is I could do it and I

55:48 did. And then you look at it and you're

55:50 like, "Yeah, I shouldn't have." You

55:52 know, from all the brain damage um and

55:54 everything else. And like I think about

55:56 it now and I'm like, "Man, dude, I made

56:00 a lot of dumb decisions."

56:02 >> That was a rough 18 months. the well not

56:05 only was it a rough 18 months but I

56:07 still pay the price for it today

56:10 >> because it's it's just like because I

56:12 think about it now and I'm like okay so

56:13 all those decisions were made in

56:14 18-month period but from 23 on basically

56:18 23 24 25 26 four years I've made pretty

56:22 good decisions but yet I still you know

56:24 >> still here yeah

56:25 >> well I still have to deal with the

56:26 repercussions of it and all that stuff

56:28 but then you also think like

56:29 [clears throat]

56:30 I'm going to deal with it 20 years from

56:32 now you you know, 10 years from now, not

56:34 maybe financially, but just people

56:36 yapping, right? Cuz I think about it

56:39 too, like tons of entrepreneurs who have

56:40 failed at things and it's like, oh well,

56:42 he went bankrupt here and he did this

56:44 and you know, so people still deal with

56:45 it, right?

56:49 Um, so whatever. Like I'm going to have

56:51 to deal with it the rest of my life and

56:52 it is what it is. But I'm just like,

56:54 yeah, you know,

56:57 I guess um what I can say is for anybody

56:59 listening to this that um has made bad

57:02 decisions and you got to live with like

57:04 losing money in a real estate deal or a

57:06 business that failed or shutting down a

57:08 business. It's like, dude, you know,

57:10 people are going to say what they say

57:12 and if people are still bringing up

57:13 stuff about you from four years ago,

57:16 >> they're just fans by another name.

57:17 >> Yeah. I mean, at that point, that's

57:18 their prerogative and like that kind of

57:20 I don't know, like deal with it. Like

57:22 that's who you are. But for me and for

57:23 anyone else listening to this, it's like

57:26 all you can do is continue to make

57:28 better decisions after the fact, you

57:30 know,

57:30 >> and own the bad ones, which you have.

57:32 >> Yeah. You own the bad ones and you, you

57:34 know, whatever. And people still may not

57:35 like what you did or how you handled it

57:37 or whatever, but all you can do in any

57:39 point of life is what are you going to

57:41 do today, you know, going forward? And

57:43 so for me, I'm like, yeah, I can look

57:45 back now and say, yeah, the last four

57:46 years I've made good business decisions

57:49 while still dealing with the bad ones.

57:51 And um I think I made a good business

57:54 decision this week on shutting down the

57:56 the house opening.

57:56 >> I think it's the only decision you could

57:58 have made. I mean, just to be clear, I

57:59 think I don't think it I mean, I know

58:00 you had to pray on it and

58:01 >> yeah,

58:02 >> you know, do all of that. I don't think

58:03 there was a I think it was an easy

58:04 decision.

58:05 >> Yeah. But, you know, it's like you still

58:08 get criticism, right? So,

58:09 >> you're you're what once you're as famous

58:12 as you are, you're going to get

58:13 criticism no matter what. So, it's

58:15 >> I I think for me too, what was

58:17 interesting was I don't consider my like

58:19 I don't look at myself like being this

58:21 famous guy because I don't I I look at

58:23 real celebrities as like famous.

58:25 >> Yeah.

58:25 >> And then I'm just like how are there

58:27 like hundreds of videos like on this

58:30 like this is like crazy.

58:31 >> 50 of them 30 of them. Is real estate so

58:34 small? So you're less big fish on a

58:36 small

58:37 >> I don't know. Top top of the mountain.

58:39 >> Yeah. I like how we talk in past tense.

58:41 [laughter]

58:41 >> You did out of the space. Yeah, that's

58:43 true. That's true. You can't be looking

58:45 up the mountain of equipment.

58:46 >> Yeah, that's

58:47 >> No, no, that's for the retired people.

58:48 >> Yeah, you're in like you're in like top

58:51 five real estate people, but you're not

58:54 top five golf people. So, you're just

58:57 moving into a bigger pool.

58:58 >> That's right. That's right.

58:59 >> I'm curious when you look going to be

59:00 me, Tiger.

59:01 >> Yeah. Yeah. You, Bryson, [laughter] I

59:04 I'm ter.

59:08 [laughter]

59:09 >> Who are the top golf influence nonPJ

59:11 players?

59:11 >> Oh, influencers. Grant Horvat. Good.

59:13 Good.

59:14 >> They are. Yeah.

59:14 >> Grant Horvat's like the man. Uh Bob does

59:17 sports.

59:18 >> Okay. I don't know. LeBron.

59:20 >> LeBron and Kevin. Yeah.

59:22 >> Seriously though, they're like becoming

59:24 golf. Like to think about that there's

59:26 going to be people who are introduced to

59:29 golf through LeBron James and Kevin

59:31 Hart.

59:32 >> Yeah.

59:32 >> Is crazy. But that's actually happening.

59:34 >> But let let me even talk about this too,

59:36 right? So we talk about somebody

59:37 messaged or commented this on my video

59:39 and it's it's true. They're like, you

59:41 know, you're you're a level, let's call

59:43 level 10 talent moving into a level 10

59:45 opportunity, right? Or a level 10

59:46 vehicle. Yeah. And it's like, it's true

59:49 because the real estate market right now

59:51 is not a good vehicle with

59:53 >> it is a shitty vehicle.

59:54 >> Yeah. Like all the momentum is against

59:56 you. All the wind is against you. Like

59:58 it's hard and

1:00:00 >> yeah, running a business.

1:00:01 >> It's like there's other vehicles where

1:00:03 the wind's with you. AI, um,

1:00:06 >> social media,

1:00:07 >> social media, golf, like

1:00:09 >> in person stuff,

1:00:10 >> in person stuff. Like, so if LeBron and

1:00:11 these guys are golfing and, uh, bringing

1:00:14 all these new eyeballs to the sport,

1:00:15 it's only a matter of time before other

1:00:17 entrepreneurs start golfing. They find

1:00:19 out about M19. It's the only option and

1:00:22 then boom. This is the other part, too,

1:00:24 I want to bring up. [clears throat]

1:00:27 >> I was talking about seasons, and this is

1:00:29 really important. Um, and you you've

1:00:32 mentioned on other podcast, but like

1:00:34 there's windows of opportunity to make a

1:00:36 lot of money.

1:00:36 >> Correct.

1:00:37 >> And I believe I'm in one of those

1:00:38 windows of opportunity with M19 where

1:00:42 okay, we just finished the first year.

1:00:43 We've got almost 600 members. My goal in

1:00:46 the next 12 months is to get to 2,000.

1:00:49 And

1:00:50 >> I think if I accomplish that goal,

1:00:53 essentially it's the game is already

1:00:56 won.

1:00:56 >> Was done.

1:00:57 >> Like I I think

1:00:58 >> Yeah. just the re then the reason I say

1:01:00 that is because it's is I've studied

1:01:02 more and more network effect businesses.

1:01:04 So, a network effect.

1:01:06 >> Yeah. Like just for everyone listening,

1:01:08 a network effect is like, "Hey,

1:01:10 >> Uber and Lyft, um, they were battling

1:01:13 because whoever got all the drivers and

1:01:15 all of the, you know, riders would win.

1:01:17 Airbnb won." You know, like once they

1:01:20 got all the host and they got all the,

1:01:22 you know, people who wanted to stay, no

1:01:24 one like anyone can create the Airbnb

1:01:25 app. It's not rocket science. But

1:01:27 because of the network effect, they want

1:01:29 Instagram's the same thing. And so for

1:01:31 me, I'm just like, look, if you're a

1:01:33 business owner who golfs and you want to

1:01:35 go on bucket list trips, by by the time

1:01:37 next year we have 2,000 members ideally,

1:01:40 um, and we have 30, 40 plus trips a

1:01:43 year,

1:01:44 you you look at join, you're like, okay,

1:01:46 I could join this group and there's

1:01:48 already 2,000 plus people. There's tons

1:01:49 of people in my market. There's already

1:01:51 high-c caliber people in every industry

1:01:53 and I can just join into this ready-made

1:01:55 thing that has so much options. If

1:01:58 somebody tries to compete with me,

1:02:01 they're starting from zero and dude,

1:02:02 they can't get members that fast.

1:02:04 >> No.

1:02:04 >> And you're gonna go compete with, oh, we

1:02:07 got like four trips this year and I have

1:02:09 like 20 member. Like, you can't compete.

1:02:12 >> So, I kind of think it's one of those

1:02:13 things where once it's there, it's it's

1:02:15 pretty much game over.

1:02:17 >> Mhm.

1:02:17 >> Um,

1:02:18 >> it's blue ocean, red ocean.

1:02:19 >> It's it's blue and and there will be

1:02:21 people who try to compete and copy and

1:02:23 all this stuff, but then those people

1:02:24 good business.

1:02:25 >> Yeah. then it but now also too they're

1:02:27 going to have to deal with uh everyone

1:02:29 knows they're a copycat too and so you

1:02:31 have the stigma of that you're just a

1:02:33 copycat loser. Yeah. And so like all of

1:02:36 those things play the role where it's

1:02:38 like hey

1:02:39 uh I got about a year and I think once

1:02:42 that hits it's it's pretty much over.

1:02:44 And I think at that point too with 2,000

1:02:46 members based on the math it's pretty

1:02:49 close to worth the nine figures.

1:02:51 >> Yeah. Another thing I think about that

1:02:53 most people don't understand, I actually

1:02:56 learned this from Ed Mlet, that there's

1:02:58 like six basic human needs and everyone

1:03:01 lands somewhere on all of them, but I'll

1:03:04 read them to you. So, one of them is

1:03:06 certainty.

1:03:07 >> So, I need that. That's something that I

1:03:11 value a lot. Ryan does not value that.

1:03:14 So, certy is like wanting security. They

1:03:17 want stability. They want

1:03:18 predictability. They want to feel safe.

1:03:20 He doesn't need that. I need that.

1:03:23 Another human need is uncertainty and

1:03:26 variety. He needs that. I don't need

1:03:29 that. So, people should be listening to

1:03:31 this to figure out where they lay on

1:03:32 these. Yeah. Uh the next one is feeling

1:03:35 important or valued. Some people need to

1:03:38 be recognized. Some people need to feel

1:03:40 respected. Some people need to feel

1:03:42 value. I don't really need that. I'm

1:03:44 like whatever about it. The next one is

1:03:47 love and connection. Some people like

1:03:49 with their work, they need to love it

1:03:51 and feel connection to their co-workers

1:03:53 and like whatever. I don't really need

1:03:56 that. Another one is growth.

1:03:58 >> So that is wanting to improve, learn,

1:04:01 process, and become better.

1:04:03 >> I'm high in that. I don't like to stay

1:04:05 stagnant. I like to like anything I do,

1:04:07 I just to make it grow.

1:04:09 >> And the last one is contribution. That

1:04:11 is like wanting to help others, make an

1:04:13 impact, feel that what you're doing

1:04:15 matters.

1:04:15 >> That's the only game I'm playing now.

1:04:17 >> Yeah. I don't necessarily need that.

1:04:19 Like with real estate wholesaling, it's

1:04:20 just like a transaction business. I

1:04:22 don't really care. I care about my

1:04:23 employees, but the business that I'm

1:04:26 doing is not, you know, helping society.

1:04:29 >> Then you're in a different season.

1:04:30 >> Exactly. So with Ryan, a lot of people

1:04:34 value certainty, but they look at what

1:04:37 he's doing and they're like, "Oh, that's

1:04:39 bad. That's wrong." But it's like, no,

1:04:41 he just has different needs for him,

1:04:44 right? If we forced him to do the same

1:04:46 thing for 50 years, he would die early

1:04:49 because he like this sauce. Seriously,

1:04:51 like you know. Yeah. And like for

1:04:54 example, my father-in-law,

1:04:57 this fool worked until he was 84 years

1:05:00 old because he loved what he was doing.

1:05:03 If we took that from him, he would have

1:05:05 died earlier.

1:05:06 >> Oh wow.

1:05:06 >> So people need to let

1:05:08 >> know yourself know thyself.

1:05:09 >> Yeah. They need to understand. And

1:05:11 that's Ed Mlet that gave

1:05:12 >> Ed Milelet uh the power of one more. But

1:05:15 I remember I read that for the first

1:05:16 time. I was like, "Oh, it really liked

1:05:19 it really helped me understand my

1:05:20 employees and like partners and yeah and

1:05:23 where I am and like cuz sometimes I

1:05:25 would look at stuff that he's doing and

1:05:27 I'm like why the freak does he just keep

1:05:29 changing? I don't even get it." Like

1:05:31 he'll like change change. But that's

1:05:33 something that he needs where there's

1:05:36 other people where like the brain works

1:05:37 different.

1:05:38 >> Yeah. There's other people where fear

1:05:39 like, "Hey, let's change to this. Let's

1:05:41 not be a realtor." They're like, "Oh,

1:05:43 but like

1:05:44 I'm a realtor. How am I going to do

1:05:47 something else?" So, yeah, I think

1:05:49 that's really important for people to

1:05:50 like self-reflect and look at. Worst

1:05:52 part about making a lot of money is that

1:05:54 you have to pay a lot of taxes on it.

1:05:56 This is exactly why I've partnered with

1:05:57 Taylor Strategy. You may have heard me

1:05:59 talk about all these different types of

1:06:01 strategies like cost segregations and

1:06:03 depreciation and lots of other things,

1:06:05 but the reality is there are so many

1:06:07 other strategies right now that you can

1:06:09 be taking advantage of. The team will

1:06:10 audit your situation this year and also

1:06:13 previous years to see if you're entitled

1:06:15 to tax savings that you did not take

1:06:17 advantage of. So, if that sounds good to

1:06:19 you, go to taylor-tax.com

1:06:22 today. Other than M19, so take M19 away.

1:06:24 >> Yeah. Which of your other things that

1:06:26 you're working on now are you mo most

1:06:28 excited about?

1:06:29 >> Well, um, the Christian toys, they're

1:06:33 not out yet.

1:06:34 >> Can you give us an example or is that

1:06:35 like hush hush?

1:06:37 >> Um, I'm not going to give the name

1:06:40 because it'll be a big launch, but

1:06:41 basically I'm really excited about them

1:06:43 because um, they'll be out for

1:06:45 Christmas.

1:06:45 >> Okay. This year.

1:06:46 >> Yeah, this year. Yep. So, they're going

1:06:47 to be out and uh,

1:06:49 >> I like them for three reasons.

1:06:50 Obviously, I'm solving my own problem. I

1:06:52 want Christian toys for my kids and

1:06:54 there's just not any good ones.

1:06:55 >> Okay.

1:06:56 >> Two, um it's feeding off collectibles,

1:06:59 which uh I love collectibles. I always

1:07:01 have. Um and so there's limited

1:07:04 versions. There's, you know, they're

1:07:06 blind boxes. You don't know what

1:07:07 character you're going to get, so

1:07:08 they're going to be really fun. And then

1:07:10 three is like, yeah, the opportunity for

1:07:12 it is massive. I mean,

1:07:13 >> I don't Are there any Christian?

1:07:15 >> No. No. The opportunity is massive. I

1:07:17 mean, it could be bigger than M19. And

1:07:20 um just because of the opportunity.

1:07:22 >> What age group? So people know to look

1:07:24 for it.

1:07:24 >> Well, that's the thing with

1:07:25 collectibles. I mean, they're for kids,

1:07:26 but adults love Pokémon. Yeah. So like I

1:07:30 I think it's for everyone.

1:07:31 >> Okay.

1:07:31 >> And uh I would collect them. I will

1:07:34 collect them. They're mine. Like you'll

1:07:36 see them in my office. They'll be on

1:07:37 that desk.

1:07:38 >> So um yeah, I'm I'm really excited about

1:07:41 that. I think that that has the most

1:07:42 fulfillment. Uh you know, we're giving a

1:07:45 huge portion of all the sales to Tent

1:07:46 Makers, my nonprofit.

1:07:48 >> Wow. Um,

1:07:49 >> so it ties together.

1:07:50 >> Yeah. Like, and that's the only reason I

1:07:52 even came up with it because, you know,

1:07:54 last year I was like, how do we raise

1:07:55 more money for the nonprofit? Like, I'm

1:07:56 tired of just like trying to get donors.

1:07:59 Yeah. And so, I was like, I want to

1:08:00 create a business that could fund it.

1:08:02 And I didn't have any ideas. And then

1:08:04 one day it just clicked because I was

1:08:05 just looking at all these Christian

1:08:07 toys. I'm like, why can't I find any

1:08:08 good toys?

1:08:10 >> And God's like,

1:08:11 >> yeah, exactly.

1:08:12 >> Yeah. Go, go do that.

1:08:14 >> And I'm like, I don't know how to make

1:08:15 toys. I don't. But you know, they're

1:08:17 they're they're going to be awesome. So,

1:08:19 okay.

1:08:19 >> I think that that's the one I'm most

1:08:20 excited about, most passionate about,

1:08:22 biggest opportunity

1:08:23 >> before Christmas, after Thanksgiving.

1:08:24 >> I think probably I mean, I'm waiting to

1:08:27 see when they all get here, but for sure

1:08:30 there will be pre-sales um during Black

1:08:32 Friday.

1:08:33 >> Okay. So, right around the corner.

1:08:34 >> Yep. So, yeah. I mean, they're launching

1:08:35 soon. Um there's that. I think uh I'm

1:08:38 really excited about my tax firm, Taylor

1:08:40 Tax. Uh we've grown that tremendously

1:08:42 over the last year. I got an to give

1:08:45 backstory on that just so everyone

1:08:46 knows, you know, I started an original

1:08:49 tax business back in 2020,

1:08:51 >> right?

1:08:51 >> We grew that large, ended up selling my

1:08:53 equity to my partner, got out of the tax

1:08:55 game for a couple years. Then um this I

1:08:59 really wasn't even looking to get back

1:09:00 in, but my one my one-on-one client,

1:09:03 Greg, um he'd been with me for years in

1:09:05 wealthy investor, you know, doing real

1:09:07 estate and tax. And he hired me to do

1:09:09 one-on-one coaching. He was at 400K um

1:09:12 the year before and we got him to a

1:09:14 million and after the year of 101 I go,

1:09:16 "Bro, honestly, you still didn't even do

1:09:18 like half the things like I would have

1:09:20 wanted you to do." Like I could we could

1:09:22 have been at 2 million if I was running

1:09:23 the show. And um because you know he's

1:09:28 great at fulfillment, but like the

1:09:29 marketing and the sales and all the

1:09:30 things that we're really naturally

1:09:32 inclined to do, you know, he doesn't

1:09:33 like doing that. And I said, "Dude, if

1:09:35 you just let me come in and do all that,

1:09:37 you focus on fulfillment. I'll focus on

1:09:39 marketing. will explode. And so, yeah, I

1:09:42 mean, that business is now um I think

1:09:45 it's like 250 was what we did last

1:09:47 month. And so, yeah, I think we can get

1:09:50 that to the goal is a million a month.

1:09:52 And I think once we get to a million a

1:09:53 month, that has a lot of value and we'll

1:09:55 sell it. And so, yeah, my goal is to

1:09:57 build that to sell. His is too. We're

1:09:59 aligned there. Um, Pana Partners is

1:10:02 pretty cool. I don't think that that's

1:10:04 sellable because it's uh we we just run

1:10:06 sales and marketing for uh coaches and

1:10:09 consultants and service providers. We'll

1:10:12 see. But um I mean that that business we

1:10:14 have to turn down clients because

1:10:16 there's so many people that want to work

1:10:17 with us for that.

1:10:19 >> Um

1:10:21 what else? Dad Built. So that one's

1:10:23 funny. I had Ivan on my my uh partner in

1:10:26 that. But when I when I got into that

1:10:29 one, he started it a year ago and he

1:10:32 wasn't, you know, he didn't have the

1:10:33 capital and the ad spend or the

1:10:35 marketing expertise and but he was

1:10:37 making great organic content. You know,

1:10:38 he had like 100,000 followers in a year

1:10:40 just making this content, handing dad's

1:10:43 hats and stuff like that.

1:10:46 >> And you know, it was doing like 10 grand

1:10:48 a month. And um we ended up uh

1:10:51 partnering up a few months back and the

1:10:54 last two months we've done over six

1:10:55 figures each month and um the only

1:10:58 reason it's not higher is because we ran

1:10:59 out of hats. So [laughter]

1:11:01 >> it's a nice problem to have.

1:11:02 >> Yeah. So I think that that one could

1:11:04 also do a million a month uh pretty

1:11:07 quickly.

1:11:07 >> So again, pretty easy to dump real

1:11:09 estate when you have all these other

1:11:10 options.

1:11:12 >> Yeah.

1:11:12 So, I wanted to I wanted to end with

1:11:15 this one, and you might want to clip

1:11:16 this up for the opening, but again, as I

1:11:18 said, you quit real estate. Should

1:11:20 everyone quit real estate?

1:11:22 >> I think there's a lot of people who

1:11:23 should.

1:11:24 >> Yeah.

1:11:25 >> I think there's a lot of people who are

1:11:27 scared, who are tired of it, who have

1:11:29 better opportunities in front of them,

1:11:31 who could use their skills for different

1:11:33 things, but um they're scared. They

1:11:35 don't know any other path or they have

1:11:37 an identity, you know, with it. And um

1:11:40 they just don't know what it's going to

1:11:41 look like. And I think that there's

1:11:42 there's a lot of people who should. And

1:11:43 then I think there's people who

1:11:44 shouldn't. I think there are people who

1:11:46 been at it for a long time. They love

1:11:47 the business and yeah, it's hard, but

1:11:49 they need to just push through it. And

1:11:50 it is what it is. And um just understand

1:11:52 that it's cyclical and they're going to

1:11:54 have to just grind. And you know, that's

1:11:56 that. I was talking to um a couple of my

1:11:59 former students and some of them are in

1:12:02 in M19 now. One of them was like, "Man,

1:12:04 dude, my title company, I just, you

1:12:06 know, got it couple years ago and it's

1:12:08 already bigger than my other thing." and

1:12:10 uh you know I'm getting tired of like

1:12:11 these flips and we I lost money on a

1:12:13 couple of flips and the market and this

1:12:15 and that. I'm like why don't you focus

1:12:16 all in on your title company.

1:12:18 He's like okay and I go like let's just

1:12:20 do a thought process and I shared this

1:12:22 with a guy and I was like why not like

1:12:25 what would happen if all the time you

1:12:27 spent talking to sellers and everything

1:12:29 else you spent throwing events to get

1:12:31 people to use your title company sending

1:12:33 people same sending the same sales guys

1:12:34 out to brokerages to try and get them to

1:12:36 use your title company. all the money

1:12:38 you spent on marketing, marketing your

1:12:40 title company, what do you think the

1:12:41 outcome would be? And he's like, I think

1:12:42 I'd make way more money,

1:12:43 >> I guess. So, why wouldn't you do it? It

1:12:45 just never crosses your mind because

1:12:47 you've done this other thing for so

1:12:49 long.

1:12:50 >> And, you know, I was give up.

1:12:51 >> Yeah. And I was even talking to my other

1:12:52 buddy who um I won't say who, he just

1:12:55 got into life insurance. And uh

1:12:57 literally, he messaged me about the

1:12:59 video. He goes, "Bro,

1:13:01 >> I don't want to feel like a quitter and

1:13:03 stop doing this, but I'm not like liking

1:13:05 it the way that I thought." And I said,

1:13:08 "So why don't you just quit?" [laughter]

1:13:11 And this guy already has money. And I

1:13:13 was like, "So why don't you just stop

1:13:15 and focus on the other thing?" He's

1:13:16 like, "I don't know, man. I don't want

1:13:17 to." You know, it's just this idea of

1:13:20 like, it just never occurs to people

1:13:22 that you can just stop.

1:13:24 >> Yeah.

1:13:24 >> Like I'm like, "Why don't you just stop

1:13:25 it? You could.

1:13:28 >> It's identity."

1:13:29 >> Well, and he literally texted me on the

1:13:30 show just now. He's like, "It's done."

1:13:32 >> So what do you think? We'll ask you,

1:13:33 Brian. Should everybody quit real

1:13:34 estate?

1:13:35 I think if you're going to do real

1:13:37 estate part-time, you should quit

1:13:40 because it's not going to work. Like,

1:13:42 this is like an allin or nothing uh

1:13:45 business right now. I always use the

1:13:47 analogy. So, let's say me and me and

1:13:50 you, if we wrestled,

1:13:52 >> who would win? Let's just tell a little

1:13:54 lie. Who would win?

1:13:55 >> Let's say you.

1:13:56 >> Sure.

1:13:56 >> Okay. We'll say you, right?

1:13:57 >> Okay.

1:13:59 >> Cuz it's just me against you.

1:14:00 >> Understood. Now, let's just say we

1:14:03 wrestle and you're going up against me

1:14:06 and Ryan. Who's going to win?

1:14:08 >> Right.

1:14:09 >> Okay.

1:14:09 >> All right. Let's say me and six of my

1:14:12 employees go up against you.

1:14:14 >> We're going to beat you every single

1:14:16 time.

1:14:17 >> So, I have a team that's working right

1:14:20 now while we're doing this podcast.

1:14:21 They're working on Saturdays. They're

1:14:23 working.

1:14:24 >> They're grinding every single day

1:14:26 looking for deals, negotiating even when

1:14:29 I don't feel like it. Yeah,

1:14:31 >> we're going to smoke the person that's

1:14:34 trying to look for deals part-time.

1:14:36 >> Um, so I don't think real estate is a

1:14:38 part-time business right now. Maybe

1:14:40 later, like during COVID, people could

1:14:42 come in as a side hustle, flip a house,

1:14:44 buy a rental, make money, do an Airbnb.

1:14:47 >> Just so I'm clear, when you say

1:14:48 part-time, is that a full-time employee

1:14:51 working somewhere else doing real

1:14:52 estate? Are you talking about like a

1:14:53 like a

1:14:54 >> I'm talking about time invested. Like

1:14:56 you have to be able to spend about 40

1:14:58 hours a week, I think, to make this

1:15:00 actually work.

1:15:00 >> Now, are you talking buying one rental a

1:15:02 year? Are you talking flipping and

1:15:04 wholesaling?

1:15:05 >> I even think I don't think you should

1:15:06 buy rentals right now if you don't have

1:15:08 if you're not making over $150,000 a

1:15:10 year. I don't even think you should buy

1:15:11 a rental. Like the only reason you

1:15:12 should buy a rental in my opinion is if

1:15:14 you live in an area where houses are

1:15:16 less than $100,000 and they cash flow or

1:15:19 you have a huge you have a huge income

1:15:22 where you need to offset it by buying

1:15:24 rentals and you know doing a cost

1:15:26 segregation. But besides that, if you're

1:15:28 trying to make $10,000 a month and live

1:15:30 off of it, I don't think you should go

1:15:32 buy rentals. I don't I I think it

1:15:33 doesn't work anymore. But that's what I

1:15:36 think about real estate. Are there

1:15:37 people still making money in real

1:15:38 estate? Yes. We did six figures last

1:15:41 month, you know, it's the beginning.

1:15:43 >> I'm just curious. How many deals? Six.

1:15:44 >> Uh, four.

1:15:45 >> So, 25K a pop.

1:15:46 >> Yeah. 25K a top a pop. We did one for

1:15:49 like 60, one for 10, but

1:15:50 >> clearly some people are still making

1:15:52 money.

1:15:52 >> There's still, bro, I know people that

1:15:53 made a million dollars this year. Our

1:15:56 friend, uh, I don't know if we want to

1:15:58 say it, but Ray Rodriguez hit us up. He

1:16:01 He said he netted a million dollars.

1:16:02 This is his first year.

1:16:03 >> I said that earlier.

1:16:04 >> Yeah. He This is the first year he

1:16:06 netted over a million dollars. So, it's

1:16:08 still possible.

1:16:09 >> He's 25.

1:16:10 >> He's 25 years old.

1:16:11 >> 25. Wow.

1:16:12 >> Yeah. So, that's what I'm saying.

1:16:13 There's still so much money to be made

1:16:15 in real estate, but if you think you're

1:16:16 gonna just do this part-time and you're

1:16:20 going to look on Zillow for an hour a

1:16:22 week and and make money, it's just not

1:16:24 going to happen.

1:16:25 >> Oh, that we vastly disagree. That's

1:16:27 okay. That's okay. I'm right anyway. You

1:16:29 You'll come back later.

1:16:30 >> You'll be like, "All right, Brian."

1:16:32 Yeah.

1:16:32 >> Brian has been right a lot. Certainly

1:16:34 been right about transactions. I'll give

1:16:36 it a market forecast. But

1:16:40 >> do I predict that it's a great industry

1:16:43 to get into long-term? No. I think

1:16:46 regulations are getting harder. The

1:16:49 politics are politicians are starting to

1:16:51 become more and more anti-real. States

1:16:53 are changing the rules.

1:16:54 >> States are changing rules. There's more

1:16:55 laws coming in California. I heard

1:16:58 wholesaling is uh about to be banned

1:17:01 here in Las Vegas. Wow. Yeah. So, like

1:17:04 in the long term, I don't think it's a

1:17:06 great industry to get into. If you're

1:17:08 starting, if you're going to start a

1:17:10 brand new business and you're looking

1:17:12 for what you want to do in the next 10

1:17:14 years, I wouldn't suggest real estate.

1:17:15 >> No. By the Yeah. And by the way, that

1:17:17 was part of the reason why I decided to

1:17:19 stop coaching, too, because for the

1:17:21 first time in my life, I couldn't

1:17:24 ethically say, "Hey, dude, I believe

1:17:25 this is the best opportunity for you."

1:17:27 >> Exactly.

1:17:27 >> You know, because all the other years

1:17:29 I'd be like, "Bro, you should wholesale.

1:17:30 This is great. flip houses, you know,

1:17:32 buy rentals that like this is like a

1:17:34 perfect

1:17:35 >> Well, and look,

1:17:37 >> if the market shifts tomorrow and and

1:17:39 things tank and drop and then, you know,

1:17:40 things have get back to levels they

1:17:42 should be.

1:17:42 >> Yeah,

1:17:43 >> dude. There's nothing wrong with

1:17:45 changing your mind, be like, "Okay, now

1:17:47 >> it's okay to do this." But in the

1:17:49 current climate and what we all think is

1:17:51 probably going to happen here in the

1:17:52 future, it's like,

1:17:54 >> "Yeah, I freak. I I think people should

1:17:56 go sell life insurance. people like

1:18:00 other

1:18:01 opportunities.

1:18:02 >> And the last thing I'll say, so from

1:18:04 2016 to 2022, I was screaming from the

1:18:08 hilltop, buy real estate, buy real

1:18:11 estate, buy real estate, buy real

1:18:13 estate, start flipping, start

1:18:14 wholesaling, start flipping, start

1:18:15 wholesaling. Right now, people call me a

1:18:19 doomsdayer or you say I'm bitching

1:18:21 because I'm saying the reality of the

1:18:25 situation for the people that are

1:18:26 actually practicing real estate. It is

1:18:29 really hard right now. Interest rates

1:18:31 are really hard to just the laws are get

1:18:34 like they they re they redid the real

1:18:37 estate contracts in California to be

1:18:40 even more stricter. Yeah.

1:18:41 >> Like there, you know, Compass is suing

1:18:44 uh the CRMLS. Like there's so many

1:18:46 things that are happening

1:18:48 >> that are just against real estate right

1:18:51 now. So people could say I'm bitching,

1:18:53 but

1:18:54 >> when things turn around, if people are

1:18:56 still watching this show, I will start

1:18:58 screaming, "Buy real estate. Buy real

1:19:00 estate. Get into real estate. Get into

1:19:01 real." Real estate is cyclical. I've

1:19:03 been doing it 30 years.

1:19:04 >> Exactly. So right now it's it's a hard

1:19:06 season that we're in.

1:19:07 >> No question. Yeah. I would argue of my

1:19:10 30 years, it's the hardest. These next

1:19:12 six months are going to be the hardest.

1:19:13 >> You think it's harder than 2008? But you

1:19:14 just said it was the best time.

1:19:16 >> Dude, you don't understand. So, yeah. 20

1:19:18 2008 wasn't that hard. Once you got past

1:19:20 because short sales and REOs were

1:19:22 coming.

1:19:22 >> Yeah.

1:19:23 >> Right. I didn't buy anything in for nine

1:19:25 months in 2008, but then I started

1:19:27 buying all the way down.

1:19:28 >> Yeah.

1:19:28 >> Because the hardest thing in 2008 was

1:19:30 lending.

1:19:30 >> Yeah. Yeah. You couldn't get loans.

1:19:32 Yeah.

1:19:32 >> The loan.

1:19:32 >> Yeah. And I I was paying 12 points for

1:19:34 hard money.

1:19:35 >> Yeah.

1:19:36 >> 12 points.

1:19:37 >> 12% interest.

1:19:38 >> Oh, 12% points.

1:19:39 >> You pay 12 points.

1:19:40 >> Oh, sorry. 12% and three points.

1:19:42 >> Okay. Got it.

1:19:43 >> 12%. It's a lot.

1:19:44 >> Yeah. My first

1:19:45 >> 65% only.

1:19:47 >> My first ever uh house of I paid four

1:19:49 points 12%.

1:19:50 >> I paid for my first one. Otherwise, I

1:19:53 couldn't get

1:19:53 >> I made money. It was great.

1:19:54 >> Yeah.

1:19:55 >> Yeah. But so again, I think at the macro

1:19:58 when you're talking about real estate

1:19:59 agents, mortgage brokers, anybody that's

1:20:01 paid on transactions, it is the hardest

1:20:03 time. If you rely on selling a home, it

1:20:06 is the hardest time. But there is a

1:20:08 small set of people who can buy and hold

1:20:10 that can use this pain to buy one great

1:20:14 deal.

1:20:14 >> Do you think in the macro for people

1:20:16 that are buying and holding it's been

1:20:18 the best market in the last 30 years?

1:20:21 >> Yeah. I think the next 90 days will be

1:20:22 the best time. It's the only buyer

1:20:24 market I could think of back to 2015,

1:20:26 2014. It goes back that far.

1:20:28 >> That's crazy.

1:20:29 >> Yeah. Otherwise, it was a sellers market

1:20:31 or flat.

1:20:32 >> Yeah. So, you think it's better? It's a

1:20:35 better time to buy a rental right now

1:20:36 than 20 years ago.

1:20:37 >> It's easier for a guy like me who had a

1:20:39 full-time job that traveled to two

1:20:40 countries a week to pull up the MLS,

1:20:43 have a buy box on that finite of of

1:20:46 criteria and write some disrespectful

1:20:48 offers and get 25 or 30% off. I don't

1:20:50 have a team. I don't have tools. I don't

1:20:53 have apps. I don't have mailers. But you

1:20:55 know what? I know what 9373 or

1:20:58 fourbedroom house, two beds, two bath,

1:21:00 twocar garage, 1,200 to 2,000 ft. I can

1:21:03 know that buy box better than any human

1:21:05 being on the planet.

1:21:06 >> Yeah.

1:21:06 >> And I can write an offer.

1:21:07 >> Yeah. Just a breeze. But we've already

1:21:09 gone through this conversation

1:21:11 [laughter]

1:21:12 >> because if I could look if I had a

1:21:14 choice between buying a rental now and

1:21:16 buying a rental 20 years ago, 20 years

1:21:18 ago obviously is way better. So when you

1:21:20 say the best market, it's just like it

1:21:23 is what it is. But anyway,

1:21:25 >> it's all right. We can disagree. It's

1:21:26 fine. You're young. You'll figure it out

1:21:27 someday.

1:21:27 >> I'll figure it out. I I'll keep trying.

1:21:30 >> I'll keep trying. Anything else you want

1:21:32 to say on this? Again, this is your

1:21:33 house. Did you have a big chair?

1:21:35 >> No, I do need a new chair. This is not

1:21:36 very comfy.

1:21:37 >> No, it's not. But that's how I stay

1:21:38 awake.

1:21:38 >> Okay.

1:21:39 >> If it was too comfy, I'd be falling

1:21:40 asleep. Um,

1:21:43 >> no. As we wrap up here, I'll wrap the

1:21:45 show up. So, yeah, for me, I mean, just

1:21:48 uh for anyone who's uh followed me for

1:21:50 many years, like I said, I I don't want

1:21:52 this to discourage anyone from getting

1:21:53 into real estate or continuing. I think

1:21:56 you can obviously still win. Brian's

1:21:57 still in it. Um, lots of people, Zuber's

1:21:59 still in it. Um, I just think my

1:22:01 opportunities are different and so I'm

1:22:02 going to pursue those and um, I don't

1:22:05 think it's very different than anything

1:22:06 I've ever done the last six years. I'm

1:22:08 always pursuing what I believe is the

1:22:10 best opportunity at that time. And um, I

1:22:13 always ask every quarter I challenge our

1:22:16 students and I I just challenge myself

1:22:18 this. I say every quarter you really

1:22:20 need to do a self-evaluation and say

1:22:22 what is the best use of my time

1:22:26 and every quarter ask yourself that

1:22:28 >> question

1:22:29 >> and truth like objectively look at it

1:22:32 and say with all the new information I

1:22:35 have with all the opportunities I have

1:22:37 in this quarter all the things that I've

1:22:39 seen now happen how should I be

1:22:42 utilizing my time and I was saying it

1:22:45 for like the last year I was like I

1:22:47 honestly honestly think the best use of

1:22:49 my time is playing golf. Like I think

1:22:51 there might like it sounds crazy to say,

1:22:53 but I think if I play golf a lot and I

1:22:55 get a lot of content, I do these like

1:22:57 it's probably the best use of my time.

1:22:58 >> Yeah, you told me that 90 days ago when

1:23:00 I was here to speak.

1:23:01 >> Yeah, you're right.

1:23:03 >> It's proven to be true. And so I kept

1:23:04 playing more golf and doing more things.

1:23:06 And then you know the the new question I

1:23:09 started to ask myself because that's

1:23:11 what I've asked myself for years. That's

1:23:12 probably why I do so many things because

1:23:14 I like am willing to do the next best

1:23:17 use of my time. But then the the thing

1:23:19 that switched it for me was I started to

1:23:20 ask myself what's the best use of their

1:23:23 time.

1:23:24 >> Oh.

1:23:24 >> And so I started thinking

1:23:26 >> well first off who's they

1:23:27 >> employees.

1:23:28 >> See I think most people miss that.

1:23:29 >> Yeah. And so I just started thinking

1:23:32 what's the best use of their time? And

1:23:33 so I thought about my house flipping

1:23:34 team. I thought about my media team. I

1:23:37 thought about you know everyone in

1:23:39 different roles. Javi, you know, and I

1:23:41 even told Javi, this is Real

1:23:42 Entrepreneur Partners. I was like, bro,

1:23:44 you're not going to be able to do the

1:23:45 things that you used to do anymore with

1:23:46 this blowing up, and you're not going to

1:23:48 be able to, you know, uh, do this and do

1:23:51 that and do this. And I go, I think

1:23:52 you're going to be pretty much full-time

1:23:54 doing all this other stuff. And he's

1:23:55 like, ah, whatever. I'm like, no, I

1:23:57 don't think you can see what's And then

1:23:58 sure enough, it's what we thought. And

1:24:01 then

1:24:02 you know like if if if everyone in the

1:24:06 organization's doing the best use of

1:24:08 their time, you would be the most

1:24:10 optimal you could be.

1:24:11 >> Correct.

1:24:11 >> But so many people do things that are

1:24:14 not,

1:24:14 >> you know, the best use. And um or things

1:24:17 that are comfortable that they've been

1:24:19 doing for a long time. And it's like,

1:24:20 bro, why do you still do that? You know,

1:24:23 I'll ask Brian that sometimes on

1:24:24 different things he does. I'm like, why

1:24:26 you still do that? You still send wires?

1:24:28 Like, why can't somebody else do that?

1:24:29 Why do you still like it makes no sense?

1:24:31 You still go to the bank to sign stuff

1:24:33 or the title company? Like what a waste

1:24:34 of time, you know? And it's like, well,

1:24:36 it's just I've always done it. It's

1:24:37 like, yeah, but dude, if you do a 100

1:24:39 deals a year, how many hours are you

1:24:40 wasting going to the title company over

1:24:42 and over again?

1:24:43 >> Like it's just dumb.

1:24:45 >> And

1:24:46 yeah.

1:24:48 So,

1:24:48 >> what are you excited about? What are the

1:24:50 biggest changes in your life, in your

1:24:52 career?

1:24:53 >> I'm a very lucky man, right? I I have

1:24:55 this saying, I think you probably both

1:24:56 heard me say it. Every day is Saturday.

1:24:58 And I truly mean that. And but people

1:25:00 probably don't realize that that

1:25:02 actually means something to me.

1:25:03 >> So for 20 years of my career, I traveled

1:25:06 the world as a commission salesperson,

1:25:08 sales leader. And what that means is

1:25:10 every Sunday I left.

1:25:11 >> So in my family for 20 years, probably

1:25:14 45 weekends a year, I wasn't home on

1:25:16 Sunday.

1:25:17 >> Oh, that's crazy.

1:25:18 >> So I only had a Saturday.

1:25:20 >> But now every day is Saturday day to me,

1:25:22 right? I don't uh I I have enough income

1:25:24 four or five my bills.

1:25:26 >> I travel whenever I want. Yeah.

1:25:28 >> You know, so I I'm just I'm having I'm

1:25:30 enjoying a rough season, 12 or 15 years,

1:25:33 and I get to enjoy it for 50. So,

1:25:36 >> what do you see happening in the economy

1:25:37 now with uh the new Fed?

1:25:40 >> So, I do think the Fed's going to raise

1:25:41 rates. I think they probably do, too,

1:25:43 but I think it's December and March.

1:25:44 It's not not before the election. So, I

1:25:46 think there's two more hikes coming.

1:25:48 It's just later than most people think.

1:25:50 >> Yeah.

1:25:50 >> I think mortgage rates get over 8%.

1:25:53 >> And I think real estate's in a

1:25:54 depression. Oh

1:25:56 >> And we're going to find out

1:25:58 >> by the summer

1:26:00 >> if we're in a nasty recession or if this

1:26:02 AI thing is big enough to kind of pull

1:26:04 us out. And I don't have the answer

1:26:06 today. I don't know.

1:26:07 >> I predict I'm the first I quit real

1:26:09 estate video and there's going to be

1:26:10 many others in the coming year.

1:26:12 [laughter]

1:26:13 >> Once again, legendary. There will be

1:26:15 more.

1:26:16 >> Usually like a year ahead is like then

1:26:18 it's like, oh man, this is bad. And I'm

1:26:20 like, yeah,

1:26:21 >> yeah.

1:26:22 >> Yeah.

1:26:22 >> Dang. above 8% interest rates would be

1:26:24 brut for investors already. I think

1:26:27 they're close.

1:26:28 >> Yeah, close. Yeah, they're seven and a

1:26:31 Yeah,

1:26:31 >> for owner.

1:26:32 >> But that is brutal. That's scary to

1:26:35 think of.

1:26:35 >> You know, we were we I mean just we we

1:26:37 were at 8% two years ago, October of

1:26:40 >> 24. For like a little bit.

1:26:41 >> Yeah. For Yeah.

1:26:42 >> Like

1:26:44 >> Yeah, it's the the problem is the

1:26:46 economy now is we're heading into

1:26:47 winter, which is always a slow season.

1:26:48 You talked about Q4 is always slow. Now

1:26:51 with the highest rates, now with the

1:26:52 war, now with diesel. Diesel is a

1:26:54 problem. If you want to talk about the

1:26:55 economy.

1:26:56 >> Yeah. What's going on?

1:26:56 >> Diesel is the number one problem.

1:26:58 >> What is I I'm not familiar with. What's

1:27:00 >> So diesel is what all the trucks run on.

1:27:01 >> Yeah. Yeah.

1:27:02 >> But we don't we're running out of

1:27:03 refineries and we don't have enough and

1:27:05 it's nine bucks a gallon now. $9.99 or

1:27:08 some crazy California.

1:27:09 >> Gez. So So shipping expenses are crazy.

1:27:12 >> You're shipping lettuce.

1:27:13 >> Yeah.

1:27:13 >> Right. Yeah. You know, whatever. It's

1:27:15 all diesel is one of those things that

1:27:17 just works through the economy. That

1:27:18 could cause inflation to go up. And if

1:27:20 inflation goes up,

1:27:21 >> rates go higher.

1:27:22 >> So we are on this very dangerous

1:27:25 flywheel.

1:27:25 >> What the heck?

1:27:26 >> Where we could be back at 4% inflation.

1:27:28 >> Geez. What do you think is going to

1:27:30 happen uh in the elections and after?

1:27:34 >> The biggest the biggest thing is the

1:27:36 Iran war. We talked about this last

1:27:38 time. He's got to get out of there.

1:27:39 There's just no exit.

1:27:41 >> Why hasn't Why haven't they left? I'm

1:27:42 not following like what's going on.

1:27:44 >> Well, I don't I think you I think we all

1:27:46 fail to realize it's not Trump's

1:27:48 decision.

1:27:49 Even if Trump said, "I'm out of Iran."

1:27:51 You still got Israel lobbing bombs. You

1:27:53 still got the Houthis throwing bombs.

1:27:55 >> It's we once you stir up the hornets

1:27:58 nest, all the hornets are flying around.

1:27:59 And it's a very dangerous environment

1:28:01 right now.

1:28:02 >> Yeah. Don't these guys know you can just

1:28:03 quit.

1:28:04 >> Yeah. Yeah.

1:28:04 >> Just quit.

1:28:05 >> I don't get it.

1:28:06 >> Call Trump.

1:28:06 >> Call Trump. Just quit, buddy.

1:28:08 >> You can just You can leave. Like

1:28:10 >> Yeah. Can they just leave?

1:28:11 >> No. No. It would be worse

1:28:13 >> cuz they already like un pissed off

1:28:17 people.

1:28:17 >> Yeah. Right. And we're there kind of in

1:28:19 the air like we got three aircraft

1:28:21 carriers there now.

1:28:22 >> Yeah. What's going to happen?

1:28:24 >> Oh, we have three aircraft. Okay. What

1:28:25 what do you think is going to happen in

1:28:27 the elections and then how is that going

1:28:28 to affect the economy?

1:28:29 >> Ah, dude, I don't know this the the I am

1:28:32 very nervous about Democrat socialists

1:28:34 or whatever kind of having their time

1:28:37 more like that guy in New York. More of

1:28:39 his his type.

1:28:41 >> That's dangerous.

1:28:42 >> Yeah. You think you think there's more

1:28:44 coming?

1:28:46 >> That's my biggest fear. Yeah. That's my

1:28:48 biggest

1:28:48 >> I see a lot of like pro like pro-choice

1:28:52 propaganda coming up a lot on social.

1:28:54 >> I haven't seen I mean that's not

1:28:55 >> I've seen that a lot recently. I don't

1:28:57 know why.

1:28:57 >> You must be watching that stuff cuz I

1:28:58 don't get any of that.

1:28:59 >> No, I've been seeing it like a

1:29:01 >> pro-choice like abortion. Yeah. Really?

1:29:03 I

1:29:04 >> I've been seeing that and then even

1:29:05 Mandani was just on Theo Vaughn.

1:29:07 >> Yeah, I saw that.

1:29:08 >> And then Theo Von was kind of like

1:29:10 socialism.

1:29:10 >> What you're saying makes sense. Like

1:29:12 everything makes sense. And I'm like,

1:29:13 bro,

1:29:14 >> it sucks when like these mainstream

1:29:17 people

1:29:18 >> start agreeing with these socialists

1:29:20 because naive people are going to fall

1:29:23 for it. They're like, well, okay,

1:29:24 socialism is not that bad. Like, okay,

1:29:27 the government, they're they can the

1:29:30 >> the beacon of light on.

1:29:31 >> Yeah.

1:29:32 >> The the the full of wisdom.

1:29:35 >> But that's what happens when they start

1:29:37 to see like these one of the podcast on

1:29:39 the

1:29:39 >> Exactly. It's like it's scary where

1:29:42 you're like This is what I am most

1:29:43 concerned about. Yeah. If we,

1:29:45 >> you know, again, real elections usually

1:29:47 go far right or far left. And I'm I have

1:29:49 a fear this one might be far left.

1:29:50 >> You think it's going to go far left?

1:29:52 >> I have that fear. I certainly hope not.

1:29:53 I hope

1:29:54 >> I I'm pretty much guaranteed it will.

1:29:56 >> Really?

1:29:56 >> Yeah.

1:29:57 >> Cuz people are just going to go

1:29:58 anti-Trump.

1:29:59 >> The last two years have been terrible.

1:30:00 It's just it's going to

1:30:01 >> it's going to be orange band. So that

1:30:03 way.

1:30:03 >> Well, no. It's just Yeah. I mean, the

1:30:05 last two years have been terrible for uh

1:30:07 the economy, for inflation, for

1:30:10 affordability, and so everybody's going

1:30:11 to vote the other way. just is what it

1:30:12 is.

1:30:13 >> It happens every time. Yeah.

1:30:13 >> And then

1:30:14 >> the economy is really really bad because

1:30:15 again you some people say it's great.

1:30:17 >> It's a K shape.

1:30:18 >> Yeah. There you go.

1:30:18 >> But I I always put myself in the shoes

1:30:20 of

1:30:21 >> the other 80%.

1:30:22 >> Yeah. Like I'm doing great.

1:30:25 >> Yeah.

1:30:26 >> But like I it's bad.

1:30:27 >> Yeah. Okay.

1:30:28 >> How do we f like how does it get fixed

1:30:31 or what's like where's the hope at in

1:30:33 all this?

1:30:35 Well, first I mean, if you really want

1:30:36 to talk about the big hope, it's really

1:30:38 hard to bet against the US US in general

1:30:40 over a long enough time.

1:30:42 >> Yeah,

1:30:42 >> we've had recessions before. I think we

1:30:44 just need a healthy recession. We

1:30:45 haven't had a real recession since the

1:30:47 GFC. We had a little blip in COVID.

1:30:50 >> Wasn't you just printed money and fixed

1:30:52 it? Yeah,

1:30:52 >> we need a recession to kind of cleanse

1:30:54 out the bad debt.

1:30:55 >> Um, we just need a recession, I think,

1:30:58 unfortunately.

1:30:59 >> Yeah. And that's what I was going to say

1:31:00 too, even about real estate. I've gone

1:31:02 through all the scenarios in my head.

1:31:04 This unaffordability problem only gets

1:31:06 solved one of two ways. Rates can't

1:31:08 solve it because

1:31:10 >> they're not going to go that low.

1:31:11 >> They won't go that low. And even if they

1:31:12 did, prices would go up.

1:31:14 >> So like the gap is between affordability

1:31:16 and what a mortgage cost is still just

1:31:18 the same regardless.

1:31:20 >> Wages would have to increase. That's not

1:31:22 happening. It won't happen fast enough.

1:31:24 Um so it only leads two options. either

1:31:27 prices drop a lot, which could happen,

1:31:30 or technology

1:31:32 is able to build houses for way cheaper.

1:31:35 >> What you brought up. Yeah.

1:31:35 >> And and to me, that's the only option. I

1:31:38 just don't think that prices are going

1:31:39 to drop significantly. Too many people

1:31:41 are sitting on equity. Too many people

1:31:42 are sitting on low rates.

1:31:44 >> So, um yeah, I don't see prices dropping

1:31:47 tremendously. So, it's just going to

1:31:49 stay unaffordable

1:31:50 >> and it won't change till technology. But

1:31:53 politically speaking, nothing can happen

1:31:55 is my point. Do you think AI is going to

1:31:57 help at all?

1:31:57 >> Well, I think technology bubble, but do

1:31:59 you think the AI bubble is going to help

1:32:00 the economy or make it worse?

1:32:02 >> Well, you just called it a bubble.

1:32:03 Generally, bubbles don't help economies,

1:32:05 >> but do you think there's an AI bubble?

1:32:07 >> I think there's an AI debt bubble. I

1:32:08 think AI, again, I'm an old hat, so

1:32:10 again, this is probably unfair, but I

1:32:12 remember when the internet came out and

1:32:13 you had to go to Fry Electronics to buy

1:32:15 a disc to install Netscape Navigator.

1:32:18 You probably don't even know any of

1:32:19 these words.

1:32:20 >> No.

1:32:20 >> Fry Electronics was like Best Buy.

1:32:22 >> I remember there was a Fry up the

1:32:23 street. Okay. So in Netscape Navigator

1:32:26 was like Google.

1:32:27 >> I don't know what that is.

1:32:28 >> It's it's all right. It was Google

1:32:29 before Google.

1:32:30 >> That's how you got on the internet.

1:32:31 >> No.

1:32:31 >> Right. And you had to install software.

1:32:33 You didn't download it on your phone,

1:32:34 right? So you had a disc and you had to

1:32:36 put it in. So that's how old I am.

1:32:38 >> And the internet was a thing. And what

1:32:40 happened is everybody rushed in with

1:32:42 money and people were throwing money,

1:32:44 billions of dollars at DSL lines, which

1:32:46 were fibers that ran underground before

1:32:48 we had satellites.

1:32:49 >> Yeah. Yeah.

1:32:50 >> And that was the way the internet was

1:32:51 going to get fast was DSL. DSL

1:32:53 >> sounds familiar.

1:32:54 >> Yeah. Same right? Yeah. And guess

1:32:55 what?

1:32:55 >> Data centers, all this.

1:32:57 >> Yeah. Data, same thing as data centers.

1:32:58 It all came in and then it all vanished

1:33:00 because tech changed and it all was bad

1:33:02 debt. Companies blew up left, right, and

1:33:03 center. So I think open AI is going to

1:33:06 go down as the company that loses that

1:33:08 burns the most money ever. I think Open

1:33:09 AI is a is a fraud.

1:33:12 >> But I think AI is real. So if that makes

1:33:14 sense. So AI the tech is real. Open AI

1:33:16 the company I'm not a fan of. Yeah, we

1:33:19 had a big AI guy. Who was that guest

1:33:20 that was just on here that used to work

1:33:22 for Facebook? I forgot his name.

1:33:23 >> Oh, Pmpliano.

1:33:25 >> Pompiano.

1:33:25 >> Oh, yeah. Yeah.

1:33:26 >> Yeah, he was just on here. And I told

1:33:28 him, I was like, I don't get the whole

1:33:30 money and AI thing because it just seems

1:33:31 like everything's going to go to zero

1:33:33 anyway. So, I don't they're going to

1:33:34 compete 90% of it will be competed away

1:33:37 to zero. Then there'll be a top tier,

1:33:39 you know, HIPPA, financial regulation,

1:33:42 all that stuff that'll still be paid,

1:33:44 but 90% of it will be

1:33:45 >> free just like the internet. You guys

1:33:47 pay for this.

1:33:48 >> Exactly. Yeah. I remember back in the

1:33:50 day when you had to pay for minutes and

1:33:53 then like after a certain amount of time

1:33:55 the minutes were like free.

1:33:56 >> A was this and E was this.

1:33:58 >> Yeah.

1:33:58 >> Pri tokens will be

1:34:00 >> Yeah. Exactly.

1:34:01 >> So yeah.

1:34:02 >> Yeah. So I think I think I think the AI

1:34:03 actually the rising rates could blow up

1:34:05 the AI debt bubble.

1:34:08 >> Really?

1:34:08 >> And then then

1:34:09 >> if the AI debt bubble blows up then

1:34:11 we're not even in a K-shaped economy

1:34:12 anymore. We're in a depression.

1:34:14 >> So So play this out. AI dub bubble blows

1:34:17 up.

1:34:17 >> The stock market falls 25%.

1:34:19 >> Yeah. The stock market crash.

1:34:20 >> Wealth effect gets cratered.

1:34:22 >> They can't buy real estate. They can't

1:34:24 buy houses. Their businesses are

1:34:25 crumbled.

1:34:25 >> Yeah. Businesses are created. And then

1:34:27 we're in a recession.

1:34:28 >> Big one.

1:34:28 >> Six months later, the Fed slashes rates

1:34:30 to zero and the party starts again.

1:34:32 >> Okay, that's good. That's good.

1:34:36 You got roughly a year. You

1:34:37 >> guys will hear me on here. Buy real

1:34:38 estate.

1:34:38 >> Roughly a year of pain. But

1:34:40 >> so you think that's what's going to

1:34:41 happen?

1:34:42 >> Do you think that's going to happen?

1:34:43 >> I think we have to have we have to have

1:34:45 a recession. We have to clear out some

1:34:46 of this bad debt.

1:34:47 >> I don't know what happens, but I just

1:34:49 know whatever's currently happening

1:34:51 has to give.

1:34:52 >> Something has to give.

1:34:54 >> One thing will give. Something will

1:34:55 give.

1:34:55 >> You think there's going to be an AI

1:34:57 bust?

1:34:58 >> That's the most likely outcome. But it

1:34:59 could be war. It can be there could be a

1:35:02 lot of things that happen.

1:35:03 >> Yeah,

1:35:04 >> there could be a pandemic.

1:35:05 >> Yeah, I'll put [laughter] that out.

1:35:07 >> I'm just saying like,

1:35:08 >> yeah, Russia just had the plague. Did

1:35:09 you hear about that?

1:35:10 >> Yeah, there's a lot of things that could

1:35:11 happen.

1:35:12 >> Just a plague.

1:35:12 >> All right. All right. Well, Zubs, thanks

1:35:13 for taking the reigns on this episode.

1:35:15 You did a great job as the first ever um

1:35:18 guest host of the show. Great job. Um

1:35:22 next time maybe you'll you'll replace

1:35:23 Brian. Who knows?

1:35:25 >> Nobody can replace Brian.

1:35:26 >> Yeah, it's true, too. But [laughter] um

1:35:28 anyways, guys, uh make sure you

1:35:30 subscribe to this. Hopefully this clears

1:35:32 things up and we'll catch you on the

1:35:33 next one. base.

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