coconut [ __ ] in a kettle. Boil boiling
[ __ ]
>> Actual [ __ ] like
>> boiling poo in a kettle, bro. The smell,
Mike.
>> Boiling [ __ ] in in a kettle, [music]
bro.
>> So, UFC fight night, Daniel Rodriguez
versus Uros Medish is taking place this
weekend. And I, Tony has died, am going
to be looking at every single fight that
is on this card and giving my breakdown
for who I think wins every single fight
on the card. Overall,
it's a [ __ ] card. Like, I'm going be
I'mma keep it real with you guys. I'm
going to keep it 100. It's not that good
of a card. We do have some pretty fun,
stylistically fun fights on the card,
but I think we have about seven people
making their UFC debut. And most of the
people on this card are on losing
streaks. Like Blovich is on a losing
streak kind of. Rakitch and Tybor are
both on losing streaks. Both of these
guys right here are absolute jabronies
and they're on the main card. And the
only reason they're on the main card is
cuz Tadorovich is [ __ ] from Serbia.
Um, guy making his debut versus guy who
sucks. Two guys making their debut. I
mean, this is a banger. I do love this
fight and we'll talk about it, but a lot
of mismatches, a lot of people making
their debut. But let's get started with
the first fight on the card. Marina
Spacic versus Stephanie Luciano. You got
to pick Stephanie Luciano in this one.
It's a pretty easy pick in my opinion.
This is a layup. Um, Marina Spacic, even
in her last fight against the 12 and 10
Samario Santos, she got hit quite a bit
in that fight, pretty bad defensive
responsibility. And I think Stephanie
Luciano, who does have good grappling
and good striking for the women, her
only loss is a Sam Hughes. And no, Sam
Hughes, Sam Hughes is a craft event. Um
Stephanie Luciano should just be able to
craft it up on Marina Spacic who lost
just eight months ago to a girl that's
five and two in Brave and she's a
marauder man. She's trying you'll see in
the fight she's going to attempt to be a
marauder in this fight but in my humble
opinion it's not going to work because
Stephanie Luciano has the UFC
experience. The point I'm really trying
to get at here is Stephanie Luciano
should be able to just take this girl
down whenever she wants because she does
not have very good takedown defense. And
so the only reason that Marina Spacic is
on this card even in the first place is
because she's from Serbia. Like let's
keep it 100. If this card was not
happening in Ser in Serbia, Marina
Spacic, Marina Spacic would not be on
this card at all. So give me Stephanie
Luciano to get this one done by
submission. I'm going to pick her to win
by submission. All right, let's move on
to the next fight on the card though. We
have Giovan Leica versus Alexander
Poppik. I am actually going to pick
Alexander Poppic to win this fight. And
here is why. So, if you look at his
losses, most of them are at 205 and
they're actually the pretty decent
people. He went on the Contender Series
against Jamal Hill, lost against Jamal
Hill. Now, this is not the morbidly
obese Jamal Hill that we have in front
of us. This is not big chungus Jamal
Hill. This is Jamal Hill who is [ __ ]
jacked and Poppik lost to him. He also
lost to Rob Wilkerson who would go on to
become the PFL champion. So, you look at
some of his losses and they're not bad
losses to have. Now, he does have a
couple of losses uh in the PFL by
grappling against Taylor Johnson, and
that's not a very good look, but I don't
think that the uh Jovon Leica guy, I
don't really thought think he's fought
anybody of noteworthiness yet. I guess
he got to fought a guy that was 13-1 on
Contender Series, but it was genuinely
one of the most boring fights of all
time, and he didn't even get signed that
year. So, um I think Alexander Poppik is
going to have a pretty big experience
advantage. Now, there is a 10-year age
disadvantage where he's 10 years older
than Jovon Leica, but let's be honest,
uh 34 versus 24, I don't I think 24 you
might be a little too green. Like I I'd
like someone that's like 27, 28 when it
comes to age. 24, you might too much of
a step up in competition against
somebody that's 34, who's got almost 26
UFC fights or MMA fights, who's fought
people like Jamal Hill and Rob
Wilkerson, who's now on a fouright win
streak with KOs and submission. So, he's
wellrounded. And yeah, I think I'm going
to pick Alexander Poppik to get this one
done. I I know this guy because anytime
you go on Tapology, it will show who are
the best heavyweights in the world. And
this guy will always be in like the top
30. I've never had any idea who he was,
but he's finally got signed to the UFC.
He's had a long career outside of the
UFC. He's got plenty of experience. He's
fought people better than Jovon Leica
before and had some success against
them. And let's be honest, bro. Jovon
Leica, he is a natural 265 as we can see
here. Look at this guy. He's got abs.
This guy's got a big belly right here.
You know what I'm saying? So, I think
that there may even be a speed advantage
for Alexander Poppik in this fight. So,
I'm going to pick him to win this fight
by knockout. I'm going to go knockout
round two, brother. He's got some
knockouts on his resume. So, why not,
brother? Why not? So, let's go on and
talk about the next thing, which is
members only. Oh, sure, man. There we
go. Members only, $3 a month. You get
access to my bets, parlays, you get a
little bit deeper fight analysis. We'll
do it tomorrow. And your comments stand
out in the comment section down below.
As you can see, last week we did pretty
damn good in terms of predictions and we
actually ended up making some money for
the boys. So, let's get it done. Check
out members only. Only $3 a month. Let's
move on to the next fight on the card.
We got Nina Milisvik versus Haley Cohen.
Uh, you just got to pick against Haley
Cohen because look, let's be honest. The
only reason Haley Cohen is even in the
UFC, first of all, she had a split
decision, boring ass split decision
where all she did was Mario Blatista on
the [ __ ] Contender Series almost four
years ago. She fights once a year and
she's a victim. Like, I'm just going to
say Haley Cohen like is a victim, dude.
Got knocked out brutally just three
months ago by Elise Pereira, who is now
one and one in the UFC. Uh, Norah
Cornell ended up submitting her. Not a
bad loss to have, but let's be honest,
Haley Cohen is only here because she has
ass. All right, I'm just I'm keep I'm
not disrespecting Haley Cohen by saying
that, but the only reason that she here
is cuz she's hot. Nina Melissy Ve,
whatever her name is. She's actually got
some pretty decent wins on the regional
scene. Um, and in her last fight, she
beat someone that was 4-0, and she
showed a well-rounded ability in those
fights. Cohen, all she has is the
clinch. like all she can do is Mario
Blobista. If this is an actual MMA
fight, which I do think it will be. If
this turns out to be a MMA fight, I do
believe that uh Nina Melisa or should be
able to beat Haley Cohen, who's just
been absolutely nothing but a victim in
the UFC for the four or five years that
she's been in the UFC. Give me Nina
Melis to win this one. All right, now we
got a good fight here. Kyle Preple
versus Matteas Retsky. And dude, let me
say something here. Although Matteas
Retsky is a minus 350 favorite, I'm
really nervous for him, bro. [music] I
am really nervous for him because in his
last fight against Grant Dawson, he had
the most clear route to victory of all
time and was so close to winning that
fight against Grant Dawson, Rambky, he
fumbled. I kid you not. He almost
knocked out Grant Dawson like 12 times
in that [ __ ] fight and just continued
to try to wrestle with him and ended up
getting his back taken and submitted.
negative like genuine neg like one of
the worst displays of fight IQ I have
ever seen in a mixed martial arts fight
was from Matteas Rambeski and this is
how it kind of turns out in all of his
fights. He had a lot of success against
Chris Duncan. He had a lot of success
against Ludovic Klein. He had a lot of
success against Grant Dawson. He was
even I think pretty sure he was winning
against Carlos Diego Ferrer before he
ended up getting knocked out by him. And
even Oro now look if Oral had about 30
seconds left we all know who would have
won that [ __ ] All right, let's just
keep it 100. But Matteas Rebecki, he is
a very talented fighter. He just has
negative IQ. Like even in the Ludic
Klein fight, he got taken down, but he
was doing a good or he got the taked
down at the end of the fight and was
doing good work against Ludic Klein on
the ground, beating him up. Now Klein
did land some elbows from bottom, but
Rebecki is very t like he's a marauder.
He's going to have a really really
entertaining fight no matter what. And
that's what I think they're trying to do
is give him a layup in Kyle Preple, but
I'm not sure how much of a layup it
really is because if Rebecki comes in
with the same negative fight IQ, I do
think Preple can have some success
because even in the Benwisen fight,
Benoisen was getting hit quite a bit by
Rebecca. That is just because Ben Juan
Sandin has negative defense. But Drew
Dober, Drew Dober was on his way to
losing to Rebecca uh to Preple until
there was an illegal shot, stopped the
action and ended up like, you know, they
had to stop the fight and then Doper
collected himself and then ended up
winning the fight with a knockout in the
third round where he was already down
two rounds in my opinion, bro. All like
pretty crazy to say that. But I do think
Rebeck is going to win this one by
decision. I do think that Preple will
drop Rebecki at some point in this
fight. But I don't think Prep really has
the finishing instincts against people
that are actually good. Now, he finished
a bunch of bums, like a bunch of bums on
the regional scene, but like when it
comes to actual fights in the UFC, I
don't think that Rebecci Preple has a
very good job at finishing people. I
think Rebecki is kind of overrated in
terms of his finishing ability as well.
He was very close to finishing Oro. Yes.
And you know, maybe we could see a
knockout highlight real knockout for
Rebecki in this one. But in my opinion,
I think Preple, I think what like his
biggest weakness is pressure, pressure,
pressure. If you can put that pressure
on him like we saw in the Benwis fight
and just overwhelm him with volume, I
think that that's a big weakness of Kyle
Prepik. And I do think that Rebecki is
going to be able to do that in this
fight. Just continue to walk forward no
matter what Prepik hits him with. He's
he's got a pretty decent jab. I'm not
going to lie. I'm not going to I'm not
not sleeping on Preple here. I do think
it will go to decision. I think he will
drop Rebecki maybe in round two, but
Rebecca, he does not have the [ __ ]
power to put away Rebecki. Rebecki will
get back up, use his grappling, which
he, you know, BSD was able to just
continue to push the grappling pace on
prep over and over and over again. He
did a good job with that. And yeah, I'm
going to pick Rebecki to win this one by
decision. close decision, but Rebecki,
he just continue like I can't trust him
100% when he just continues to display
negative fight IQ. I do think that this
is the UFC trying to get him back on
track though because he has kind of run
into a couple of tough tests in a row.
I'd like to see him fight like Terence
McKenna or something. That would be a
fun fight. I think they're around the
same level of fighter. But in my
opinion, I think Rebecki should beat
Prepac. Let's move on to the next fight
though. We got Dennis Bazooka taking on
Bogdon Grod. Uh, I'm going to take
Bogdon Grod to win this one by knockout.
Now look, Dennis Bazooka, this [ __ ]
guy right here, I'm not sure how he's
still in the UFC. He has one win and
it's against [ __ ] Connor Matthews,
right? Like, I'm not sure what Dennis
Budka is still even doing in the UFC.
And he got brutally slept by Mario
Barbosza just three months ago. And now
he's making a quick turnaround against
Ba Dong Grod, who, let's be honest,
who's also pretty mid in the UFC so far.
But even with Bogdong Grod, we can take
some uh some positivity from some of his
losses. Like in the Luke Riley fight,
Luke Riley is probably one of the most
hyped up prospects in the UFC. He's got
potted the body lot in his corner. You
know, he's got a bunch of freaking crazy
knockouts and like wars on the in Cage
Warriors and Luke Riley. He beat beat
Luke Riley round one. took him down,
held him down, beat him up in round one.
Almost fraud check Luke Riley before
Luke Riley hit him with that check left
hook, the signature Luke Riley check
left hook and put him out. And even the
Muhammad Nimov fight, he had a lot of
success in the grappling and in the
striking against Muhammad Nimov. Now, he
didn't get it done, but Nimov is a
decent name to kind of have a good fight
with. Beat Lucas Alexander by knockout
with his grappling and Budka. He is a
wrestler and I think that that can maybe
pose some problems for Bogdan who likes
to mix it up. But in my opinion,
Baghdad's a much better striker than
Budka uh or Bazooka or however you say
this [ __ ] guy's name. Bogdongrad is a
much better striker than this guy. And I
think that he'll knock him out on the
feet pretty easily. Like I'm I'm going
to keep it real. Uh Dennis Budka is just
not UFC level fighter. Bungra, at least
he's had success in his losses and has a
win against Lucas Alexander by knockout.
Um Michael Oswwell Jr. also gave Luke
Riley a pretty hard fight and he beat
him on the regional on the container
series as well. And so yeah, give me
give me Bogdongrad who came into the UFC
15-2. He's got two losses in a row. I
think he'll bounce back here. And I
don't know if y'all seen him, but he's
got some aura right now. He's actually,
you know, collected some aura with his
new look. So I'm I'm excited to see what
Ba Dongrad can bring to the table. Let's
talk about the next fight. We got Mark
Vagden taking on Boris Love Nikolik. Um,
I think that's how you say Nick Oich.
>> You need to,
>> but Mark Vagden versus Nikol Leech. I'm
going to have to pick Nicol Leech. Uh,
Mark Vagden. Yes, he's got some pretty
fun fights like the fight with
Martinetti that was on Container Series.
Even though he lost, he still got a
contract because of how fun the fight
was. Even the John Castanada fight. Uh
pretty sure Castanada I'm pretty sure
the fight was like Mark Vlogged won
round one and then round two um
Castanada won round two but it was a 108
round or it got a point taken in round
two or some bull some [ __ ] like
that. But what I really remember about
the fight is thinking that um what's his
name? Castanada should have won the
fight. Like I don't think I hate to say
this about Boss Baby cuz he puts on fun
fights. He's only 26 years old, so he
has time to improve, but I just don't
think Volagdton is very good. And I do
think that he is very hitable. And the
guy that he's fighting is a really
really good like striker. Like this dude
has some pretty crazy highlight rails.
Before he got in the UFC, I'm pretty
sure Vaggden was supposed to fight
somebody else and this guy's taking the
fight on short notice now. But I think
that Vagden is just so hitable, bro.
Like he gets hit so [ __ ] much. And I
just don't trust that against someone
who is as elite of striker as Borislav
Nikolik. So I'm going to pick Nicolik to
get this one or how I don't know how to
say his name, bro, but I just don't I
just don't rate Vagdton is really what
it comes down to. I've seen him fight
twice. I thought he lost twice. He's 0
and2 and he's taken on a guy that's on a
pretty good win streak. Got a bunch of
finishes. I'm going to pick him to lose.
I'm going to pick Nicolick to get this
one done. All right. Now, dude, I've
actually been excited for this one, bro.
Michael Olivera versus Oan Elliot. And
I'm going to say this right now. This
may be a very bold prediction, but from
what I seen out of Michael Olivera so
far, 28 years old, he is the biggest 170
I have ever seen. This dude may be
bigger than Michael Morales. I'm not
even kidding you. I like this dude is a
freak of nature individual. Okay? And
I'm just going to say this, man. I think
he's going to be a future champion. Like
I'm just going to say it. I think
Michael Ava, if I had to pick any guy
that hasn't made their UFC debut yet to
like this could age terribly because OAN
is decent, but if I had to pick anybody
to be a UFC champion right now that in
like the next 5 years, it'd be this guy
because this dude undefeated and he has
the touch of death. This dude right here
puts people to [ __ ] sleep. And I
think Oen Elliot's getting slimed. All
right. I don't know what Oan Elliot did
to piss off the UFC by giving him
Michael Alair. I guess they're just done
with him. They're like [ __ ] Toy Story
with Woody where he's like, "I don't
want to play with you anymore." Maybe it
has to do with Oan Elliot's association
with the MMA guru that they're giving
him Michael Aivera, but I did a video a
while ago called the best people off of
Dana White Contender Series. I did it
for last year's season. I put Michael
Aivera as the number one guy. I was so
impressed with his performance. And
Victor Venezuela, he is now in the UFC
and won his debut in the UFC. So, he has
a bunch of great wins at LFA when
they're all knockouts against really
highle people. And dude, I'm just
telling you, Oan gets hit quite a bit,
bro. I just O is getting chinned, bro.
He's getting chinned, bro. Oan is decent
on the feet, don't get me wrong. He was
actually doing pretty good against
Mikolaf before he kind of made a
negative IQ decision and took Mich down
and then ended up getting submitted if
or something like that. I can't remember
exactly what happened, but I remember
Oan being stupid. He was winning against
Mich and then he ended up getting
submitted by him. Same uh Saki coaches
laid on top of him. But dude, I just
think that I think that Oan is going to
chin this dude. I'm telling you, bro.
He's going to I'm not Oban. Michael
Olivera is going to chin Oan. Like it's
going to be brutal. It's going to be
nasty. It might even be I know I'm like
on glaze overdrive with this guy right
now, but this I if I had to like dude
this guy Michael Olivea, just get ready
for this guy. This guy is the truth of
[ __ ] welterweight. I'm telling you
right now, you heard it here first. If
anybody in in like the next 10 years
when this guy is like the you know Lucas
Tracy, he's number five on Lucas Tracy's
goat list or some [ __ ] Remember Tony
has died called it right here right now
in the year of 2026. All right. All
right. The next fight that we have here
is Ludovvic Klein versus Tofi Messiah.
I'm not sure why this one isn't higher
up. If you remember correctly, Ludovic
Klein actually had technically had a
main event against Gamro or Yeah. Wait.
Yeah, he technically had a main event
against Gamro after uh who was it? It
was that [ __ ] with the fat ass. I can't
remember her name. Macy Barber. After
Macy Barber had a seizure. Uh, Ludic
Klein actually ended up being the main
event against Gameamrot because she had
a seizure right before she walked out.
But he got absolutely obliterated on the
ground against Gameamrot and even in the
Rebecki fight, I just don't think I can
trust Ludan Klein against anyone that
can wrestle. Yeah, spoiler alert, I'm
picking Teique Messiah. Now look, Tofi
Messiah, he may be a terrorist of the
sport, especially from his last
performance against Baja Mandez where he
was so close to getting knocked out in
the first round and then he ended up
cheating and he ended up surviving and
he ended up outgrappling
uh Bahamund and then doing a lot of
damage with ground and pound especially
those elbows that he was landing on
Bahamundes cut him open. Now my goat MC
Beck Oro by he was able to very easily
take down Messiah and destroy him. But
Ludic Klein has no grappling. Like
straight up this dude has no grappling.
And if we actually look at who Ludic
Klein has fought, I don't think he's
beat anybody that's actually impressive.
Like I'm not trying to be a dick here,
but I look at Ludovic Klein's record,
bro. And besides the fight against
Bahamundes himself where he won, I just
don't like look Nate the Train submitted
this dude. I know it was 2021, bro. But
this dude's hole in the grappling. And
we really just look who has he beat AJ
Cunningham, who was just doing, you
know, HH edits on [ __ ] Instagram. He
beat Thiago Moyes, who was like, "Oh, he
beat Moyes." The ghost of Thiago Moises.
He beat him. He beat Roosevelt Roberts,
who is genuinely one of the worst UFC
fighters that's ever graced the octagon.
I'm just not impressed with Ludovic
Klein's wins. And I just see that hole
in the grappling that he has. And I saw
Messiah take down a long lanky striker
in his last fight and I think he's going
to do it again here. So give me Tofi
Messiah via terrorism via decision and
yeah uh I do think that Messiah he
should not you know even in the Oral by
fight I I'll have to give him some
credit here. Oral by did miss weight and
then he moved up to 170 the next fight.
I Klein does have good striking, but he
got taken down by Rebecci and Gameamrot.
And he didn't even finish Roosevelt
Roberts. I'm gonna I'm gonna pick
Messiah to win this one. All right,
let's move on to the next one. We got
Noah Gugnan versus Milos Yannik. Now,
Milos Yannic, this guy is a really
really fun fighter. He's going to come
forward and he's going to freaking bang,
bro. He just wants to He's like, "Let me
bang, bro." He's going to come forward
and be swinging towards his heart's
content. No defense whatsoever, though.
It's like this dude kind of has some
BSDisms in him. You know what I'm
saying? Uh Noah Guggen on the other
hand, he is pretty well-rounded. He's
got a pretty good defensive
responsibility, and I'm actually going
to pick him to beat win this fight
because Milo Yianic, yes, he is pretty
good. He's got a 19 and3 record, but I
watched his fight against Alex Olivera.
And if you remember Alex Oliver, he's
the one that Kevin Holland did the
thumbs up emote to. Remember the famous
photo of Kevin Holland doing thumbs up?
Yeah, you remember that? That was Alex
Olive. He ended up getting destroyed.
Alex Olivea was actually able to get
this dude down in round one. Now, he was
able to get reversed. But Noah Guggen,
he actually is pretty wellrounded and he
actually has pretty good ground and
pound. And here's what I reckon is going
to happen. I think Noah Gugn I think
Milos Yanich is going to come out there.
Pressure, pressure, pressure. Noah Gugn,
he also likes to pressure. He goes
pressure, pressure, pressure as well.
They're going to collide. I think
Gugnan's going to get a takedown. He Yan
is not going to be able to get back up
and I think that Gugn is just going to
land ground and pound and pound him out
on the ground and get a TKO on the
ground against the Montenegrron Milos
Yanich. So that's my prediction. Noah
Gugnen by knockout via ground and pound.
And let's move on to the next one.
Gilbert Erbina versus Vlasto.
Now, Velasipo, he did get chinned just a
couple of fights ago, but I'm going to
pick him to beat Gilbert Orbena. Now,
look, it really stresses me out because
if you remember Gilbert Orbena versus
Uros Medic, he dropped Medic in round
one. Like, he dropped Medic in round
one, early round one. Medic recovers and
then chins Orbena. It was a pretty crazy
like 90-second fight if you remember
correctly. But I've just seen Gilbert
Orbena fold to physicality way too many
times to pick him against someone who
looks like this. Like I show like this
dude looks like a [ __ ] sauce monster,
okay? Like he looks like he's the [ __ ]
he's got compound V flowing through him,
all right? Like he like let's be honest,
he might not look like this when the UFC
comes, but let's be honest, bro. Like
when he makes his debut, he may not look
like [ __ ] Eddie Hall reincarnated
into a [ __ ] 170, right? But I think
in this fight, he's still going to have
a little bit of that sauce flowing
through him before he, you know, maybe
he'll pop for steroids in a couple of
months. Not my issue. Okay, I think that
Erbena has folded to physicality so many
times and he does have the ability to
win fights. He did beat uh Orin Koski,
if you remember who that guy was, he
beat him, but for the most part, I'm
going to take this, you know, upand
cominging Serbian dude who, you know, is
a super physical monster against Orbena
who Erbena is just folded to physicality
so many times. I'm not picking him to
fight someone that's physical. All
right, let's move on. The next one you
got Toadorovich versus Robert Valentine.
I'm going to pick Robert Valentine to
get this one done by knockout in round
one. Desco I mean look they're both
pretty ass. Like this what like one of
them lost to [ __ ] Torres Finny and
the other one lost to Zachary. Like like
they're not good fighters, right? Like
I'm not I'm not going to sit like I'm
not sure what this is doing on the main
card over Messiah versus Klein or even
the Rebecki fight which is all the way
back here or even even the Ba Dong Grod
fight. Like what is Ba Dong GR doing?
Where was I here? Not sure why they're
on the main card. One dude is 13 and
six. The other dude's 11 and six. But
Dusco Tvorovic is a victim. All right.
Like this dude his only win in the last
four years was Jose Medina.
Like, do I need to say more? Like, do I
need like do I really need to say more?
Okay, he has been chinned before by uh
Panela Soraniano. No, he did oddly go
the distance with uh Robocop, which is
like kind of weird, but he got chinned
by Cheetah. He got chinned by CLD, got
chinned by Mensor Abdul Malik. Um I'm
going to pick him to get chinned again
against Robert Valentine. Now, look,
Robert Valentine, his weakness is kind
of just grapplers. Like Ryan Loer was
able to take him down and ground and
pound him out. I mean, I guess Goautier
Chin, but that's just what [ __ ]
Goautier does. But Robert Valentine, I
just think that he's going to be able to
marad in this one, bro. Like, I think
he's going to buy like he is going to go
ape mode. He's going to go crazy mode
and he will just maradesco,
who is just not good. Like, I don't know
what else to say besides they both suck.
I think Valentine sucks less and I'm
gonna pick him to win this one by
knockout. All right, let's move on to
the next one. Alexander Rakage versus
Martian Martian Tybora. Yeah, he is a
great he is a great fighter and I'd love
to fight him again. I'd love to get the
rematch with Martian Tybora.
Why am I so tempted to pick Martian
Tybora? And I really think that a big
reason that I'm tempted to pick Martian
Tavior is because Alexander Rakage, even
since I became a fan, I don't think I've
ever seen Alexander Rakage win a fight.
Like straight up, as I've been as I've
been a UFC fan, I've never seen
Alexander Rakage win a fight because
yes, I was a fan when he fought Thiago
Santos, but I wasn't a hardcore fan.
Like, I'm pretty sure I skipped that
card. So, as a UFC fan, I have yet to
see Rakage when he beat Jimmy Manow by
headkick a long time ago. He beat Thiago
Santos by decision and since then tore
his ACL against Bohovich, knocked out by
Yuri. He had he did have a lot of
success against Yuri when he got knocked
out. That was on UFC 300. Uh lost ankle
alive by decision. He just got knocked
out by Ma Konov. He's been chinned so
many times, bro. But look, these are the
best people in the division. Like Azimat
was undefeated 15-0 when he fought
Rakage. Magaban Golia champion. Yeri
Pashka champion. Yamlhovich champion. He
is losing to the cream deac crop at
light heavyweight. Martian Tybora, he is
losing to [ __ ] Tyrell Fortune. That
was a close fight. I will give him that.
But he lost to Tyrell Fortune who we
just saw got obliterated by, you know,
Po from [ __ ] Kung Fu Panda. Riz Vanv,
right? Ante Dehya slimed out Tyora in
his debut. Now we see what Antea has
been up to. Absolutely [ __ ] nothing,
bro. He got chinned by Waldo. Okay. And
even besides that, his fight with Mick
Parkin was unimpressive. I guess he beat
Janata Denise, but Denise almost lost to
[ __ ] Goonar Gunnar Hines. Um, Martian
Tybora, yes, he actually has wins, but
they're not against good people.
Rackage, he's losing, yes, but it's
against the best people in the world.
He's younger, which is crazy cuz he's
34. It's in Serbia, so he's got
homefield advantage. He's got lighter
man skill. And I just see the success
that these like he's not going to do
what Pereira did and get morbidly obese.
I don't think so. He'll just stay the
same size. Like if we just like compare
the physiques like just compare these
two physiques, bro. This is actually
pretty hilarious. Like this dude has got
like one of the like Rakage was already
a big light heavyweight, you know, and
Tyora is just a morbidly obese
heavyweight.
And I honestly think if all of the light
heavyweights, like let's be honest, if
every light heavyweight in the UFC moved
up right now, Martian Tybora wouldn't be
ranked. I don't even think he's ranked
in the Meta AI rankings.
But golly, man, Tyora,
he's just like I could so see him
craftily winning a decision against
Rakage, getting a couple of takedowns,
holding Rakage down. Maybe Racket's just
too small and he can't get back up
against Tybora who's just putting that
big belly all over him. And I could see
that happening, but I'm going to take
Rakage. I'm not h I'm going to pick
Rakage by decision. 2928. I think Tybora
will win around with the grappling.
But I think Rakage is just going to be
too fast for Tybora for like if this was
prime Tybora versus current day Rakage,
I would pick Tyora. I'm gonna be honest.
Do I want to pick Tyora?
No, I'm not picking Tybora, bro. I'm not
picking Tyora to win a fight in 26, bro.
But like, it's the same thing. Like, am
I going to pick Rackage to win a fight
in 26? Like, it just doesn't feel right
cuz I've just faded Rakage my whole
[ __ ] UFC fan career. Like, I like
picked I picked Yuri to beat Rakage. I
picked Yan to beat Rakage. I picked a I
picked Rack against Rakage every time
cuz I thought he's the most overrated.
But now that he's at heavyweight, like
these people are just like, let's be
Tibbora is just a fat guy. Like let's be
honest, like he's just a he's just an
obese guy that goes to the gym every
once in a while, you know? He's 40 and
he's fat. He's got decent grappling, but
Rakage his issue is not the grapple.
It's the chin, bro. But he got hit with
a Oh my god.
Has did knock him out with a [ __ ]
jab.
[music]
And now he's at heavyweight.
And there's heavyweight power. And I
just could so see Rakage getting chinned
by Tyora now.
Oh man.
Why do I want to pick Tyora in this one,
bro?
You know what?
You know what? No, I can't do it. I
can't do it, bro. Cuz I saw Tyrell
Fortune go out there, but he out struck
Fortune and he lowkey could have beaten
Fortune,
but Dehya is not that good. Well, kind
of. He only lost the Waldo after some
weird shenanigans with an eye poke where
he eye poked Waldo and Waldo came back
and then knocked out Dia. He Dia was
winning that fight.
>> [sighs]
>> A
I'm not going to pick. I can't pick
[gasps]
because Rakage is just so ass, bro. He
is genuinely like ass. Like he is not
good. Okay, like I'm I'm going to say
here is I don't think Rakage is that
good. Like name one thing Rakage is
elite lead at besides just standing
around at range. Like think about the
ankle. He's just afraid to throw. Like I
think ever since he got chinned by Yuri
and he obviously had that ACL injury
against Bohovic, he really hasn't been
the same. He doesn't but he was doing
good against I mean but everybody does
good against Yuri. [snorts]
Am I gonna [laughter] pick Tyora?
Am I going to sit here and pick the big
belly Martian Tyora to go out there and
fraud check Rakage?
Give him his fifth loss in a row.
No, I'm gonna [sighs]
I'm gonna pick Rackage, but I'm not
happy about it, bro. I'm not happy about
this at all, bro. I'm not happy about
this at all because I just know how ass
Rakage is. But Tyora is more ass. He's
40. He's on a two-ight losing streak. He
got chinned by Delea in like a minute.
Rakage is going to have a physicality,
speed, and even skill advantage. But I
could so see Tao just getting him down
for two rounds. Bro,
I'm just going to say this. stay away
from this [ __ ] fight, bro. The odds
are Maybe I'll put some money on Tybora.
I think Tybora might be a good bet
cuz he's plus 255. Like, that's got to
be some decent money on him, you know?
But Rakage could just get chinned by
Tyora, bro. Because we've seen Tybora
chin people in the past.
[sighs]
[gasps]
Man,
I'm going to pick Rackage. All right,
let's just let's just pick Rackage and
move on with our lives, bro. Because I
don't want to like fake hardcore myself
into picking Taura, you know? Like if we
really just look at it from a simplistic
non like we turn our brains off and we
look at these two guys and you show
these two guys like this would be like a
meme. You know what I'm saying? Like
it's like who this is the best fighter
in the world right here versus this
[ __ ] fat guy. You know, I don't know.
I've never been so uncertain of
something in my life.
I have never been more conflicted in my
entire UFC prediction career than this
fight right here. We're like, this is
what the UFC's cooking like this is
genuine [ __ ] in a kettle. 0 and4 racket
who has not won in five years versus
four 0 and2 Tybora who beat Mick Parkin
via grappling and oh my god
oh my god cuz it's crazy like I'mma be
honest if it was Mick Parkin versus
Rakage I would lowkey pick Mick Parkin
[snorts] and Tyora beat him
oh my god bro I can't do this. I can't I
don't want to pick this fight. Like,
this is like this is one of those fights
that is just like, oh my god. Like, if I
pick if I pick Rackage and Tybora wins,
I'm going to be so [ __ ] pissed at
myself, bro. But then if I pick Tyora,
then Rakage is just going to chin him
and it's going to be such a bad look for
me, you know? Like, this is the world
that we live in.
This is the life and the world that we
live in, bro. And most people are going
to pick Rakage by knockout, but I really
think that if this fight wins for
Rakage, it's going to be a decision.
[sighs]
I'm going to pick Rakage, bro. I'm not
picking Tyora. I'm sorry. I can't do it.
I can't do I'm a coward. I'm a coward. I
can't do it. Let's move on to the next
one. Ylhovich versus Navajo Sterling.
I have played these games before. I have
played these games before and let me say
this before I even start I want to talk
about Yon Blahhovich because he is
genuinely one of my favorite fighters of
all time. He was I when I first got into
the sport he was the light heavyweight
champion. He just beat Dominic Reyes who
beat Jon Jones. He beat Addisa and no
one ever really talks about that that
he's the first UFC fighter to ever
defeat Osana.
He knocked out Rak Oh, it was a leg
injury. He was kind of losing a rackage
before the injury, but you know,
obviously he lost a Glover, but he
doesn't have to really Here's the thing.
Blhovich isn't going to have to worry
about the grappling in this fight at
all. You know, but the issue for me here
is the age, okay? It really is a big
issue because, you know, it seems like
he's going to closer and closer fights
with less worse and worse people. You
know,
split decision against Ankolive. I
actually thought that he beat Ankolive
on the first night that I watched this.
Now, round two was close, but I do give
it to Blahhovich low-key. First three
rounds, I don't know if the round five
can be a 108. I do lowkey think he'd be
Ankolive. Close fight, but it's a ends
up being a draw. One judge gives it to
Bohovic, one judge gives it to Ankolive,
one judge scores it a draw. So, it ends
up being a draw. Then he has a close
fight with Alex Pereira. Now, I do think
that Pereira beat him because in the
round three where he used the grappling,
it was a little too late. He didn't do
much with it. Pereira was tuning him up
in round three on the feet early. So, I
do think that he did beat Pereira. I
mean, he that Pereira beat him. Then he
fought Bberg and I rewatched the fight
recently and I do think that wins two
and three. I hate to say it, but
Blovich, he's just not the same as he
used to be. And then he goes to the draw
with Guskov. Now, I do think that he
should have beaten Guskov because I
don't know if round actually I do think
that I think a draw is fair. I'll say
this. I I do think a draw is fair for
the Guskov fight because he did get
destroyed in round two. But he did win
two rounds of that fight. And then we
look at Navajo Sterling on the other
hand and I am a little bit nervous for
Sterling because he is taking this on
short notice and he did actually
struggle with the grappling of Cout Laba
and we've seen Yan Blahhovich mix it in
especially in the Alex Pereira fight.
However, this is the third time that
City Kickboxing has fought Blahovich.
Obviously, they fought him with Osagna,
then they fought him with Bberg, and now
they're fighting him with Sterling. So,
I feel like his gym has a pretty good
grasp on how to defeat Yan Blahhovich.
What Yan Blahovich's weaknesses are,
right? They've beat they beat him.
They're one-on-one with Bohovic, right?
The gym, he's low-key their OB. Okay.
Um, and Navajo, he's taken this on short
notice, and I am a little bit nervous
for him, but I am going to pick him. All
right. I don't like to do this, but I've
played these games before. Okay. It
seems like I don't think Navajo Sterling
is that much better than Guskov. Like, I
think him and Guskov would have a pretty
close fight, but Lhovich, he's just
getting older and older. And I think
that a big reason that Coute Laba was
able to have so much success against
Sterling
was because of the physicality where
Coutaba, he's got to come forward, he's
going to be in your face, he's going to
be aggressive, and he's going to
overwhelm his opponents. And I actually
picked Coutaba to win that one, and he
was so close. But Blovich just doesn't
have that physicality that he used to
have when he was younger. Not that
Blahovich was ever some physically crazy
guy. I mean, he used to have the
legendary Polish power, you know? He
doesn't have that anymore
and he's like he's still technically
really really good. Like he went for a
tit to tat with the champion, tit with
Alex Pereira, tit fortat with an alive.
He is really good, bro. But he has not
won in five years. Even if like we look
at the rackage fight, he lost the like
not lost, he was losing the rackage
fight and then rackage injured his leg
and so he wins and then he loses the
Glover. So his last real win I'm pretty
sure is Osana if I'm not mistaken. Like
he really has not won a fight since the
fight because like all right he beats
Oagna fair then loses the Glover and
then the rackage injury and then the
Blhovage and then the ankle of Pereira
old Guskov [ __ ] mystery a fight that
we have to argue about. These are the
best people in the world bro but I just
can't tr he's got off another injury.
He's fighting a young, hungry,
upandcoming guy. Almost a 15-year age
disadvantage for Bohovich. And he's in
the He's in the years that I don't like
where you're in the late 40s. He's the
age, dude. He's the age now that Glover
beat him, which is kind of crazy. But
yeah, I'm going to pick Navajo Sterling
because I think Navajo Sterling is going
to be a future great light heavyweight.
Now, after I've kind of been a hater. I
have always picked Nava. The only time I
picked against Sterling was in the Cout
Laba fight, right?
I was very impressive that he weathered
the storm of Coute Laba. Coutaba is very
underrated and he weathered the storm
and ended up putting that mustard on him
and made him quit which I think is very
good from Navajo. And I think that he'll
be able to technically outstrike
Blhovich over three rounds, man. He'll
land good leg kicks. He'll land good
straights and Blhovich kind of struggles
with the straight shots. I think that
Navajo he'll out technically strike
Bohovic.
And yeah, I think that Sterling will win
a close decision that everyone says is a
[ __ ] robbery, bro. Maybe maybe I
should just predict a draw. Maybe I
should just predict this fight to be a
[ __ ] draw. But no, I have to pick
somebody to win. I'm going to pick
Navajo Sterling. I think that he's
young. He's good. He's He's kind of
powerful. Not really. He's He's got a
lot of decisions with people that have
been finished like Bolato's been
finished. Urselin's been finished. Tuco
Takas has been finished. And he went to
decisions with both of those guys. But
he he's got pretty good striking, man.
And I think that Blhovich,
I'm g be honest, man. He's just over the
hill. I haven't seen him win a fight in
six years, man. So, I'm going to pick
Navajo Sterling. It really hurts me to
do that, but I'm gonna have to pick
Navajo Sterling to win this one. And
now, let's talk about the main event.
Daniel Rodriguez versus Urosmetic.
Uh, I am actually going to pick, drum
roll.
I'm picking Eros. All right. And there's
no need for the drum roll. Okay.
Everyone's picking Medic. But I do think
that D-Rod is very live in this fight. I
do think that D-Rod is actually pretty
underrated. Even in the Gaston loss, you
could argue that he won that fight. All
right, let me back up here. Like I don't
think that he won the fight with Gastam,
but Gastelam missed weight and they
moved the fight to 185. Drod still took
the fight and it was a pretty close
fight. Even though Gaston missed weight,
he lost to Ian Garry and obviously he
lost to Neil Magny as well. And the Ian
Garry lost his age pretty well, I guess,
cuz Ian Garry is now, you know, fighting
for the belt in a couple of weeks. But
let's be honest, bro. Getting knocked
out by Ian Gary. Ian Garry has gone to a
decision with literally everybody else.
Also, losing to Neil Magny, I understand
it was 2022 when Neil Magny was still
symbol like, you know, sentient and
still not like his brain wasn't complete
mush at this point. I'm going to pick a
rose to win this fight. Okay, I'm
picking a manage to win this fight
because he has power and dynamite in his
hands and he's probably one of the most
powerful fighters in the UFC.
Do I think Eros Medic is a future
champion? No. Because if you can get
past round one with him, it is always a
tricky. It's always going to be tricky
for him. All right, we saw Soriano
kind of have some success and knock out
Medicage because Medic's defense isn't
all that. And maybe Drod could catch
like Medic. I mean, look, let's be
honest, this fight is going to be over
in two minutes. And I just don't like
the fact that D-Rod got slumped out cold
by [ __ ] Ian Gary. Like, I'm going to
be honest. Ian Gary,
my wife told me that I can knock out Dad
Rod. Drod, your time has come and I'm
going to knock you out cold. Look, Ian
Gary has gone to a decision with
literally everybody else. He has pillow
hands. All right. The fact that he
colded D-Rod is not a good look. Um,
Medic is going to be so dangerous in the
first four minutes of this fight. And
let's be honest, D-Rod got dropped by
[ __ ] uh who's what's the guy's name?
Kevin Holland. Drod has been dropped by
was it Gastlam dropping him, too? No, it
was the leech. I'm pretty sure the leech
dropped D-Rod. Um, D-rod's been dropped.
Okay. And he's been hurt before in a lot
of these fights now. He is underratedly
decent. Like he the fact that the fight
with Holland was a war. Maybe he can
survive Medic's power and get back up.
But I don't think we've seen anybody
that's been hit clean by Eros Manage get
back up.
Dude, the last fight against Jeff Neil,
I thought Jeff Neil was [ __ ] dead.
Okay. I thought Jeff Neil I thought Jeff
Neil literally literally like a snot a
piece of snot flew out of Jeff Neil's
nose. Salakov was on a pretty decent run
when Medicage put him away. Now I'm
gonna talk about Oral by again. My goat
Oroby,
my goat Oro by whooped his ass. And even
Simsburg, he took Simsburg to round
three and it got kind of dirty.
Look, here's what I'm going to say.
Medic, if this gets past the first four
minutes, bet D-Rod because Medic's power
will dissipate. Well, poor Seraniano did
not knock him out in 30 seconds, but
Oralai was able to get him out there in
the round two and make it dirty. Jaylen
Turner was able to make it dirty and get
medic out of there. Medic is so fun, but
he has no defense and maybe Drock can
catch him early and maybe Drock can
survive and then put that mustard on
him. But in my opinion, Drock is very
hitable. He's been dropped by lesser
people than Medish like Kevin Holland
and well Ian Gary doesn't have as much
power as Medish, but he's a better
striker. But they're kind of both
really, really long, lanky guys that
throw straights. You know, I think Medic
should win this one by a knockout. I
think it should be a pretty easy night
in the office for Mr. Udos Medic. Let's
be honest, kind of being teed up to win
here in front of the hometown against
somebody who's been dropped quite a few
times. All right, so that's my break. I
know. I literally [laughter] like Look,
let me be honest. Dro just gets hit
quite a lot early and medic hits people
early and that's really what it comes
down to. I know that's a very simplistic
way of looking at it, but it's the
truth. All right, it is the truth and I
speak it. Now, let's talk about Rakage
and Tyora more
because I want to pick Tyora.
[laughter]
No, I'm kidding. Like, subscribe,
comment. Thanks for watching. Members
only video out tomorrow. Check out
membersonly and I will catch you guys in
the next one. Goodbye.
