UFC Fight Night Baku — TonyIsDying Card Preview & Predictions 🥊🇦🇿

Quick overview

• Host: TonyIsDying — reviewing every major fight on the UFC Fight Night Baku card and giving predictions.
• Overall take: Card is strong with many fringe top‑15 names, but the main event (Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres) is viewed as weak. Tony praises many undercard matchups despite main event concerns.

Card-by-card predictions & reasoning

1) Tahir Abdullaev vs Jefferson Nascimento

• Prediction: Jefferson Nascimento wins (KO/TKO)
• Rationale: Abdullaev fought weak regional competition, looked unimpressive; Nascimento undefeated in feeders (LFA), faster striker with notable body kicks and finishes.

2) Bekzat Almakhan vs Genki Matsumoto

• Prediction: Bekzat Almakhan wins (decision, maybe split)
• Rationale: Almakhan showed competitiveness vs high-level foes (Umar Nurmagomedov, Pantoja) and can keep it standing; Matsumoto’s recent form and close/split outcomes make this tight.

3) Danilo Donchenko vs Fedor Berggren

• Prediction: Danilo Donchenko wins (early KO/TKO)
• Rationale: Donchenko’s explosive Muay Thai style vs Berggren’s shaky defense and recent submission loss — stylistic mismatch favors Donchenko finishing.

4) Khon O’Fhaily vs Javier Reyes

• Prediction: Javier Reyes wins (KO)
• Rationale: Both flawed, but Reyes is a dangerous finisher, has showcased the same shot that hurt O’Fhaily before; Tony expects Reyes to land a fight‑ending shot.

5) Andre Puliev vs Nurisultan Ruziboev

• Prediction: Andre Puliev wins (striking KO/TKO)
• Rationale: Ruziboev’s notable loss to Buckley and limited recent step-ups vs Puliev’s slick striking and solid performances vs good competition — Puliev stylistically favored.

6) Julius Walker vs Abdul‑Rakhman Yakhyaev

• Prediction: Abdul‑Rakhman Yakhyaev wins (submission)
• Rationale: Yakhyaev — 9‑0, great finisher, strong grappling; Walker vulnerable on ground. Tony expects an early takedown → submission.

7) Farid Facram Hasanov vs Eric Nolen

• Prediction: Farid Hasanov wins (ground finishes / TKO)
• Rationale: If it goes to grappling, Hasanov dominates with nasty ground‑and‑pound; Nolen is better standing, but Hasanov should secure takedown and finish.

8) Abu Magomedov vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

• Prediction: Michał Oleksiejczuk wins (decision)
• Rationale: Abu has grappling and cardio issues; Oleksiejczuk’s striking and pressure should outwork and wear Abu down across rounds.

9) Bruno Ferreira vs Ikram Aliskerov

• Prediction: Ikram Aliskerov wins (1st‑round KO)
• Rationale: Bruno has demonstrated chin issues (recent brutal KO), Ikram is a high‑level Dagestani striker with significant stoppage power and solid takedown defense.

10) Asu Almabaev vs Charles Johnson

• Prediction: Charles Johnson wins (KO, round 2)
• Rationale: Johnson’s underrated takedown defense + striking; Almabaev’s takedown attempts / ground threat likely neutralized and Johnson will catch him standing.

11) Nazim Sadykhov vs Mateus Camilo

• Prediction: Nazim Sadykhov wins (KO)
• Rationale: Tony expects a home highlight KO in Azerbaijan — Camilo’s striking is weak; line favors Sadykhov’s finish potential.

12) Shara Bullet Magomedov vs Michel Pereira

• Prediction: Shara Bullet wins (KO, round 2)
• Rationale: Pereira has major cardio issues and inconsistent recent form; Shara’s speed and body/headkick tools should lead to a knockout.

13) Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres (MAIN EVENT)

• Prediction: Manel Torres wins (KO, likely round 2)
• Rationale: Tony doubts Fiziev’s ranking and thinks he’s undersized for 155; Fiziev is skilled but lacks one‑punch power at LW. Torres is bigger, carries heavy power/nukes and will find the knockout after competitive early striking.

Host closing notes & context

• Tony calls card “really, really good” despite a weaker main event.
• Personal anecdote: He’s been moving houses, dealing with no Wi‑Fi and uploading via mobile data — explains recent inconsistency.
• CTA: Encourages comments, follows on social, and support via “buy me a coffee.”

Short summary of Tony’s betting/gut lean

• Underdog calls: Puliev over Ruziboev.
• Standouts Tony expects to KO: Nascimento, Donchenko, Reyes, Ikram, Shara Bullet, Charles Johnson, Sadykhov.
• Main event upset: Torres over Fiziev (KO).

What would you like next? My concise betting sheet, probable finishes only, or a printable one‑page card?